Match Info

Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 27

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Yatai Training Base Stadium (Changchun)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Changchun Xidu		Shenzhen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	2.98	2
	3.8	3.07	2.06
	3.6	2.98	2.06
	3.1	3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.12)	3.01 (3.01)	2.08 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Xidu
25.9%

Draw
30.3%

Shenzhen
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

30.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

28.8%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Xidu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Shenzhen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Changchun Xidu - Shenzhen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Shenzhen (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shenzhen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Hu H. (G) 29. He Youzu 5. Wang Zihao (C) 14. Li Zhen 16. Sun Fei 9. Qin Wanzhun 17. Erkin Ababekri 30. Ma Bokang 45. Nurlan Nurzat 36. Zhao Ran 46. Wang Shengbo	43. Yuan J. (G) 45. Yuan Z. 64. Chen Z. 55. Huang Keqi 46. Li Mingjie 47. Huang Z. 59. Chen W. 61. Luan Cheng (C) 48. Zhong Wen 67. Li L. 54. Wang Zhiyuan
Substitutes
60. Alim Enser 55. Deng-Fu Chuanjiang (G) 4. Erlan Ghulaht 22. Huang Wenzhuo 1. Liu Y. (G) 33. Li Xin 19. Lu Hongda 7. Musajan Musajan 42. Suo Mingwei 24. Wang Junhao 20. Xu Zhaoji 47. Yu Yue	68. Deng Z. 66. Hai J. 52. Hao M. (G) 42. Hu H. 49. Jiang W. 56. Li P. 62. Liu Q. 51. Lu C. 60. Luo Wenqi 65. Ruoke Xiang 53. Shi Z. 50. Zhu X.
Coaches
Li Bin	Wang Baoshan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Chen W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Nurlan Nurzat ↓, Huang Wenzhuo ↑,
46', Sun Fei ↓, Xu Zhaoji ↑,
46', Zhao Ran ↓, Li Xin ↑,
46', 0 - 1, Li L. ⚽, Huang Z. (A),
51', Huang Wenzhuo 🟨,
53', 0 - 2, Li L. ⚽, Zhong Wen (A),
55', Wang Zhiyuan ↓, Jiang W. ↑,
63', Li Xin 🟨,
64', He Youzu ↓, Musajan Musajan ↑,
73', Chen Z. 🟨,
77', Qin Wanzhun ↓, Erlan Ghulaht ↑,
77', 0 - 3, Zhong Wen ⚽, Jiang W. (A),
78', Erkin Ababekri 🟨,
83', Li L. ↓, Lu C. ↑,
83', Chen W. ↓, Hu H. ↑,
84', Ma Bokang 🟨,
88', Zhong Wen ↓, Shi Z. ↑,
88', Li Mingjie ↓, Liu Q. ↑,
89', Xu Zhaoji 🟨,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Changchun Xidu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Changchun Xidu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Xidu
Chinese Yi League
21.09.25	Changchun Xidu - Chengdu Rongcheng B	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Changchun Xidu	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Changchun Xidu - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Shenzhen - Changchun Xidu	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Changchun Xidu - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLTT
- Shenzhen FC
Chinese Yi League
21.09.25	Shenzhen - Shandong Taishan B	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Nantong Haimen Codion - Shenzhen	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Wuxi Wugou - Shenzhen	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Shenzhen - Changchun Xidu	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Shenzhen - Chengdu Rongcheng B	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
23.08.25	Shenzhen - Changchun Xidu	0:0

Changchun Xidu - Shenzhen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide