Match Info

League One - Round 13

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Longhua sports center stadium (Shenzhen)


	Shenzhen Juniors		Nantong Zhiyun

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	3.10	2.70
	2.25	3.15	3.00
	2.39	3.30	3.12
	2.46	3.14	2.91	Watch
	2.35	3.15	2.95
	2.38	3.21	2.97	Watch
	2.39	3.10	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.25)	3.16 ↑ (3.15)	2.92 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Juniors
39.2%

Draw
29.2%

Nantong Zhiyun
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

29%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

27.7%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Nantong Zhiyun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Shenzhen Juniors - Nantong Zhiyun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Liu Haoran (G) 13. Sun Qinhan 20. Dugalic R. (C) 24. Leung Nok-Hang 2. Chen Yuhao 37. Shang Yin 33. Zhao Yingjie 6. Zhong Haoran 18. Shi Yucheng 9. Garita A. 25. Rodrigo Henrique	25. Li Guanxi (C) 2. Xu Hui 4. Luo Xin 21. Lucas Kal 3. Zhou Zhiheng 23. Dujardin R. 26. Deng Yubiao 28. An Yifei 7. Ye Daochi 37. Jia Boyan 10. Kalulu A.
Substitutes
23. Cheng Yuelei (G) 45. Chen Weiqi 21. Chen Y. 31. Chen Zirong (G) 30. Gan Xianhao 14. Huang Jiajun 11. Huang K. 19. Su Yuliang 42. Wang Z. 27. Zhao S. 16. Zhou Xin 32. Zhu G.	36. Dai Yuanji 14. Gonzalez E. 20. Jiang Jiapeng 17. Ling Jie 13. Lin Guoyu 15. Liu Wei 8. Liu Weicheng 39. Liu Ye 1. Nie Xuran (G) 11. Ruan Yang 27. Wu Xingyu 22. Zhang Jingzhe
Coaches
Amarelle R.	Kim Dae-Eui

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Zhong Haoran 🟨,
45+3', Zhou Zhiheng 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jia Boyan ↓, Ruan Yang ↑,
58', Shi Yucheng ↓, Huang K. ↑,
58', Zhong Haoran ↓, Chen Y. ↑,
60', An Yifei 🟨,
62', Ye Daochi ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
69', Dujardin R. 🟨,
73', An Yifei ↓, Liu Weicheng ↑,
82', Xu Hui ↓, Wu Xingyu ↑,
83', Dujardin R. ↓, Liu Wei ↑,
87', Deng Yubiao 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 3).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen Juniors won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:8. (average 0:4).

Including home match between the teams, Shenzhen Juniors won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Nantong Zhiyun	25	12	9	4	34:20	14	45
4	Shenzhen Juniors	25	12	8	5	40:29	11	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Juniors FC
Chinese Jia League
27.06.26	Dalian Kun City - Shenzhen Juniors	5:4 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Shenzhen Peng City	1:3 ✺
Chinese Jia League
14.06.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangxi Hengchen	1:1 ✺
29.05.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Shenzhen Juniors	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Juniors	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLTTW
- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Jia League
27.06.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Meizhou Hakka	1:3 ✺
14.06.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
29.05.26	Ningbo Professional - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Nantong Zhiyun	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
15.05.26	Dalian Kewei - Nantong Zhiyun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
21.09.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Nantong Zhiyun	0:3
10.05.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Shenzhen Juniors	5:0

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