Match Info

League One - Round 9

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Development Area Stadium (Changchun)


	Changchun Yatai		Shenzhen Juniors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.35	3.25	Watch
	2.07	3.45	3.29
	2.06	3.52	3.32	Watch
	2	3.1	3.2
	2.02	3.32	3.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.62)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	3.27 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Yatai
44.9%

Draw
27.2%

Shenzhen Juniors
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

28.9%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Changchun Yatai's performance.

Shenzhen Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shenzhen Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Changchun Yatai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shenzhen Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Juniors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dong Yifan (G) 20. Fan Houtai 27. Reiner C. 2. Chen Guoliang 25. Chen Xuhuang 44. Fan Chao 16. Tudi Dilyimit 6. Li Qiang 33. Sun Guoliang 9. Omoijuanfo O. (C) 7. Salazar J.	41. Liu Haoran (G) 24. Leung Nok-Hang 20. Dugalic R. (C) 32. Zhu G. 13. Sun Qinhan 33. Zhao Yingjie 6. Zhong Haoran 18. Shi Yucheng 25. Rodrigo Henrique 9. Garita A. 37. Shang Yin
Substitutes
1. An Z. (G) 22. Benhaddouche C. 3. Du Kaile 21. He Xin 35. Jiang Zilei 14. JIng Boxi 5. Ling Chuanbin 18. Lu Pin 26. Lu Yiming 17. Muhamet 8. Wu Zhicheng 15. Xu Yue	23. Cheng Yuelei (G) 45. Chen Weiqi 21. Chen Y. 31. Chen Zirong (G) 30. Gan Xianhao 17. Hu Ming 8. Ke Yuan 29. Lin Zefeng 42. Wang Z. 44. Yang Youxian 27. Zhao S. 39. Zheng Zhiming
Coaches
Yan Feng	Amarelle R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Rodrigo Henrique ⚽, Zhong Haoran (A),
13', 0 - 2, Garita A. ⚽, Shang Yin (A),
15', Sun Qinhan 🟨,
15', Salazar J. 🟨,
43', Sun Guoliang 🟨,
43', Sun Guoliang 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 3, Rodrigo Henrique ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fan Chao ↓, Jiang Zilei ↑,
46', Rodrigo Henrique ↓, Gan Xianhao ↑,
46', Tudi Dilyimit ↓, Du Kaile ↑,
67', Li Qiang ↓, He Xin ↑,
69', Garita A. ↓, Chen Weiqi ↑,
69', Shi Yucheng ↓, Wang Z. ↑,
69', Zhu G. ↓, Zhao S. ↑,
71', Salazar J. ↓, Lu Pin ↑,
78', Sun Qinhan ↓, Chen Y. ↑,
79', 0 - 4, Chen Y. ⚽, Shang Yin (A),
81', Chen Guoliang ↓, JIng Boxi ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Recent performances by Changchun Yatai have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shenzhen Juniors is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Changchun Yatai has had a series of away games.

Changchun Yatai will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Shenzhen Juniors	25	12	8	5	40:29	11	44
9	Changchun Yatai	25	10	4	11	38:41	-3	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Yatai
Chinese FA Cup
16.05.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Changchun Yatai	2:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
09.05.26	Dingnan United - Changchun Yatai	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	Ningbo Professional - Changchun Yatai	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Changchun Yatai - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Foshan Nanshi - Changchun Yatai	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLW
- Shenzhen Juniors FC
Chinese Jia League
10.05.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Meizhou Hakka - Shenzhen Juniors	1:4 ✺
25.04.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Foshan Nanshi	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Nanjing City - Shenzhen Juniors	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Ningbo Professional - Shenzhen Juniors	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWLWW

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