Match Info

League One - Round 7

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Yutong International Sports Center (Shijiazhuang)


	Shijiazhuang Gongfu		Guangxi Hengchen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.92	3.05	2.25	Watch
	3.13	3.22	2.33
	3.1	3.18	2.31	Watch
	3	2.9	2.2
	3.11	3.04	2.22	Watch
	3	3	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (3)	3.07 ↑ (3)	2.25 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
29.9%

Draw
29.7%

Guangxi Hengchen
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangxi Hengchen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Li Xuebo (G) 29. Shan P. 36. Yang Yun (C) 5. Niu Ziyi 6. Zhao Shuhao 8. Du Zhixuan 17. Sun Weizhe 9. Guo Lingzi 28. Zhang Yudong 7. Conraad T. 31. Dominic Vinicius	41. Liang Kun (G) 32. Li S. 5. Luan H. 27. Zhang Zijian 3. Yuan X. (C) 24. Ji X. 23. Khedrup Lobsang 44. Liang Yibin 10. Ardazishvili R. 11. Lapoussin L. 36. Mbo N.
Substitutes
27. Hakimhan Ernar 11. Han Dong 25. Kurban I. 39. Liu B. 33. Li Y. (G) 19. Li Ya'nan (G) 4. Pan Kui 16. Xu Yougang 15. Zhao C. 45. Zhao Z. 18. Zheng Zhiyun 30. Zhou Wenhao	28. Ablimit Subi 19. Cen Liyi 7. Chen D. 6. Chen G. 21. Dai Ming 42. Ji Tianle 2. Lu Jiaqiang 16. Ning W. 25. Ren K. 22. Shen Bokai (G) 12. Yao-hsing Yu 17. Zhang Huajun
Coaches
Tato J.	Liu Junwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Mbo N. ⚽, Yuan X. (A),
32', 0 - 2, Liang Yibin ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sun Weizhe ↓, Pan Kui ↑,
46', Shan P. ↓, Liu B. ↑,
46', Zhang Yudong ↓, Xu Yougang ↑,
47', Xu Yougang 🟨,
49', Li S. 🟨,
60', Ardazishvili R. 🟨,
62', Xu Yougang 🟨,
73', 0 - 3, Ardazishvili R. ⚽, Lapoussin L. (A),
76', Ji X. ↓, Ji Tianle ↑,
76', Liang Yibin ↓, Ren K. ↑,
79', Guo Lingzi ↓, Zhou Wenhao ↑,
79', Li S. ↓, Ning W. ↑,
79', Dominic Vinicius ↓, Kurban I. ↑,
86', Mbo N. ↓, Zhang Huajun ↑,
86', Ardazishvili R. ↓, Yao-hsing Yu ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 7).

Recent form of Shijiazhuang Gongfu has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guangxi Hengchen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guangxi Hengchen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Guangxi Hengchen	25	13	6	6	40:27	13	45
7	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	25	9	7	9	23:25	-2	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
26.04.26	Wuxi Wugou - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dingnan United	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Foshan Nanshi	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Shaanxi Union - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Changchun Yatai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLLW
- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Jia League
25.04.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Nanjing City	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangxi Hengchen	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Meizhou Hakka - Guangxi Hengchen	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Ningbo Professional	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLWW

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