Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 19

Date: 10 January 2025, Friday


	Shimshon Tel Aviv		Agudat Sport Ashdod

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.3	4
	1.74	3.45	4.3
	1.8	3.46	4.13	Watch
	1.71	3.42	4.53
	1.77	3.4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.34)	3.41 ↑ (3.03)	4.21 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimshon Tel Aviv
51.7%

Draw
26.7%

Agudat Sport Ashdod
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

30.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.3%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimshon Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shimshon Tel Aviv's performance.

Agudat Sport Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Agudat Sport Ashdod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimshon Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shimshon Tel Aviv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agudat Sport Ashdod than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Agudat Sport Ashdod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shimshon Tel Aviv - Agudat Sport Ashdod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Mugrabi Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Shimshon Tel Aviv won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Shimshon Tel Aviv won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimshon Tel Aviv
Israeli Liga Alef South
03.01.25	Ironi Modiin - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
27.12.24	Maccabi Yavne - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:2 ✺
19.12.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Herzliya	0:2 ✺
13.12.24	Jerusalem FC - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:1 ✺
10.12.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLTW
- Agudat Sport Ashdod
Israeli Liga Alef South
03.01.25	Holon Yermiyahu - Agudat Sport Ashdod	1:1 ✺
30.12.24	Ironi Modiin - Agudat Sport Ashdod	0:0 ✺
20.12.24	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Yavne	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Hapoel Herzliya - Agudat Sport Ashdod	2:1 ✺
10.12.24	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Jerusalem FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
13.09.24	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Shimshon Tel Aviv	2:3
26.04.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Agudat Sport Ashdod	0:1
06.02.24	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:2

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