Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 16

Date: 19 December 2024, Thursday


	Shimshon Tel Aviv		Hapoel Herzliya

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.4	2.05
	3.1	3.5	2.04
	3.5	3.51	1.94
	3.18	3.53	2.04	Watch
	3.05	3.4	2.1
	3.1	3.5	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.65)	3.47 ↑ (3.25)	2.04 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimshon Tel Aviv
29.1%

Draw
26.2%

Hapoel Herzliya
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

28.4%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

27.7%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimshon Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shimshon Tel Aviv's form might have worsened.

Hapoel Herzliya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Herzliya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimshon Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shimshon Tel Aviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Herzliya than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Herzliya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Herzliya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Ben Hemo A. (Pen),
37', 0 - 2, Ben Hemo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimshon Tel Aviv
Israeli Liga Alef South
13.12.24	Jerusalem FC - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:1 ✺
10.12.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	3:1 ✺
07.12.24	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:4 ✺
29.11.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Shaarayim	1:0 ✺
05.11.24	Hapoel Azor - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWWL
- Hapoel Herzliya
Israeli Liga Alef South
14.12.24	Hapoel Herzliya - Agudat Sport Ashdod	2:1 ✺
10.12.24	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Herzliya	2:1 ✺
06.12.24	Hapoel Herzliya - Maccabi Yavne	0:0 ✺
02.12.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Herzliya	3:1 ✺
08.11.24	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Herzliya	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
19.04.24	Hapoel Herzliya - Shimshon Tel Aviv	2:2
01.02.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Herzliya	3:0
09.03.23	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Herzliya	1:1
04.11.22	Hapoel Herzliya - Shimshon Tel Aviv	3:0

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