Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 14

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday


	Agudat Sport Ashdod		Jerusalem FC

	1	X	2
	2.33	3.3	2.7
	2.27	3.46	2.58
	2.33	3.51	2.67	Watch
	2.35	3.26	2.65
	2.33	3.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (1.97)	3.37 ↓ (3.44)	2.66 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agudat Sport Ashdod
39%

Draw
26.9%

Jerusalem FC
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

26.4%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

25.3%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agudat Sport Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Agudat Sport Ashdod's form might have worsened.

Jerusalem FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jerusalem FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agudat Sport Ashdod than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Agudat Sport Ashdod, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerusalem FC than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jerusalem FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Agudat Sport Ashdod - Jerusalem FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 🟥,
90+6', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agudat Sport Ashdod
Israeli Liga Alef South
05.12.24	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Agudat Sport Ashdod	0:3 ✺
02.12.24	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	4:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.11.24	Hapoel Ashkelon - Agudat Sport Ashdod	1:0 ✺
11.11.24	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	1:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
08.11.24	Maccabi Shaarayim - Agudat Sport Ashdod	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWW
- Jerusalem FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
06.12.24	Jerusalem FC - Ironi Modiin	1:2 ✺
28.11.24	Maccabi Yavne - Jerusalem FC	3:3 ✺
08.11.24	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Herzliya	3:0 ✺
05.11.24	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Jerusalem FC	0:3 ✺
01.11.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Jerusalem FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWWT

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