Match Info

1. MFL - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday


	Shkupi		Vardar

	1	X	2
	9.41	5.71	1.15
	5.61	3.6	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.51 ↑ (5.45)	4.66 ↑ (3.58)	1.37 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shkupi
12.3%

Draw
19.9%

Vardar
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

25.3%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shkupi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Vardar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vardar's recent form is better than expected.

Shkupi - Vardar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.75 - Vardar (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vardar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Grote M. (G) 21. Adili D. 34. Destani A. 17. Hayvali M. 6. Milaj A. 10. Muharem S. (C) 23. Richkov A. 22. Richkov M. 27. Rifadov A. 33. Ristov M. 4. Spahiu R.	95. Taleski D. (G) 88. Bosancic N. 32. Castaneda D. 11. Danev D. 21. Jankulov G. 3. Manevski M. 4. Matic M. 47. Mato R. 9. Omeragikj A. 75. Senghor F. 10. Zakaric G. (C)
Substitutes
5. Bajrami A. 2. Enuz V. 19. Kadri E. 11. Mehmed A. 31. Meljachi A. (G) 14. Nazifi Z. 38. Ozturk A. 7. Ribeiro L. 89. Shuku E.	26. Cikarski M. 23. Duranski F. 18. Mishkovski N. 13. Murdjeski A. 5. Najdovski F. 29. Olaosebikan I. 17. Spahiu E. 19. Talevski M. 8. Tchimbembe W. 22. Todorovski D. 1. Velkovski M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
1', 1 - 0, Matic M. (Own goal),
16', 1 - 1, Danev D. ⚽,
30', Zakaric G. 🟨,
36', 1 - 2, Omeragikj A. ⚽,
38', 2 - 2, Destani A. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 3, Zakaric G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hayvali M. ↓, Mehmed A. ↑,
57', Milaj A. ↓, Shuku E. ↑,
57', Destani A. ↓, Ribeiro L. ↑,
60', Jankulov G. ↓, Najdovski F. ↑,
74', Zakaric G. ↓, Todorovski D. ↑,
85', Rifadov A. ↓, Ozturk A. ↑,
86', Mato R. ↓, Olaosebikan I. ↑,
86', Castaneda D. ↓, Spahiu E. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 4, Spahiu E. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. MFL and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shkupi won 3.

Vardar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Vardar is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shkupi won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Shkupi won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Shkupi
North Macedonian 1 MFL
25.08.25	Pelister - Shkupi	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Shkupi - Sileks	Sileks awarded ✺
08.08.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Shkupi	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Shkupi - Arsimi	Canceled ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
11.05.25	Shkupi - Tikveš	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 L?L?T
- FK Vardar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
22.08.25	Vardar - AP Brera Strumica	2:2 ✺
15.08.25	Tikveš - Vardar	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Vardar - Pelister	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Lausanne-Sport - Vardar	5:0 ✺
24.07.25	Vardar - Lausanne-Sport	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
03.05.25	Shkupi - Vardar	0:2
09.11.24	Vardar - Shkupi	3:2
25.08.24	Shkupi - Vardar	3:0
30.03.24	Shkupi - Vardar	3:0
05.11.23	Shkupi - Vardar	2:0
13.08.23	Vardar - Shkupi	0:1
14.03.21	Shkupi - Vardar	2:0

Shkupi - Vardar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide