Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Sholing		Plymouth Parkway

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.40	2.40
	2.45	3.35	2.42
	2.58	3.32	2.48
	2.59	3.54	2.49	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.45
	2.51	3.30	2.43
	2.48	3.45	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.36)	3.37 ↓ (3.52)	2.45 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sholing
36.1%

Draw
26.9%

Plymouth Parkway
37.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

25.4%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

25.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sholing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Plymouth Parkway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sholing than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Sholing - Plymouth Parkway Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Neal A. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Garside R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 1 - 2, Mason D. ⚽,
76', 1 - 3, Ireland J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sholing won 2.

Sholing has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Plymouth Parkway is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sholing won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sholing won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Plymouth Parkway	11	7	2	2	26:12	14	23
16	Sholing	11	3	3	5	13:17	-4	12

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Plymouth Parkway: 6.29% Sholing: 0.58%

Last Results with these Odds

Plymouth Parkway - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 36.72%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sholing
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Sholing - Gosport Borough	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Bracknell Town - Sholing	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Sholing - Chertsey Town	2:4 ✺
15.08.26	Hanwell Town - Sholing	0:0 ✺
11.08.26	Poole Town - Sholing	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLTW
- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Evesham United - Plymouth Parkway	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Plymouth Parkway - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Chippenham Town - Plymouth Parkway	3:2 ✺
11.08.26	Bath City - Plymouth Parkway	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
14.02.26	Sholing - Plymouth Parkway	4:2
22.11.25	Plymouth Parkway - Sholing	1:1
12.04.25	Plymouth Parkway - Sholing	3:1
14.12.24	Sholing - Plymouth Parkway	2:1
30.03.24	Sholing - Plymouth Parkway	1:1
15.08.23	Plymouth Parkway - Sholing	1:3

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