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Current Win Probability
Sholing 35.4%
Draw 26.1%
Uxbridge 38.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.6%
26.1%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
26%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sholing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Uxbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
The ML Model estimate for Sholing aligns with the current prediction.
The ML Model estimate for Uxbridge aligns with the current prediction.
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Preview
Postponed due to FA Cup.
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 17th and 3rd in the Promotion - Southern League Premier South Playoffs - Semi - finals).
In recent outings, Sholing has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Uxbridge shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Sholing may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Sholing has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:0 (averaging 2.5:0 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sholing against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Uxbridge
12
9
2
1
25:8
17
29
17
Sholing
12
3
4
5
14:18
-4
13
Last Results with these Odds
Sholing - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.56%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.