Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 9

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Uxbridge		Basingstoke Town

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.60	3.75
	1.68	3.6	4
	1.71	3.73	4.2
	1.75	3.87	4.17	Watch
	1.69	3.65	4.15
	1.75	4.23	4.17
	1.7	3.75	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.72)	3.78 ↑ (3.7)	4.08 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uxbridge
53.3%

Draw
24.2%

Basingstoke Town
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24.8%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24.3%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uxbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uxbridge than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Uxbridge - Basingstoke Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Le Paih L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 1 - 1, Okine-Peters J. ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, Nnadozie T. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South PlayoffsSemi~finals) and 16th).

Uxbridge has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Basingstoke has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Basingstoke could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Uxbridge is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Uxbridge has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Uxbridge against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Uxbridge: 5.61% Basingstoke: 0.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Uxbridge	9	6	2	1	19:8	11	20
17	Basingstoke	9	2	3	4	14:16	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Basingstoke Town - the odds 4.23 are the expected chance of winning is 21.73%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uxbridge
English FA Cup
22.09.26	Farnborough - Uxbridge	0:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
15.09.26	Berkhamsted - Uxbridge	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Uxbridge - Chichester City	5:0 ✺
31.08.26	Uxbridge - Wimborne Town	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Bath City - Uxbridge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WLWTW
- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
19.09.26	Basingstoke Town - Gosport Borough	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Gloucester City - Basingstoke Town	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Basingstoke Town - Bracknell Town	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Taunton Town - Basingstoke Town	4:3 ✺
22.08.26	Basingstoke Town - Bath City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
31.01.26	Basingstoke Town - Uxbridge	1:1
11.10.25	Uxbridge - Basingstoke Town	2:1

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