Match Info

Uzbekistan Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Markaziy Stadium (Qarshi)


	Shurtan Guzar		Orol Nukus

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.87	3.75
	2.06	2.76	3.3
				Watch
	2.01	3	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.02)	2.88 (2.88)	3.68 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shurtan Guzar
44.6%

Draw
31.1%

Orol Nukus
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

31.5%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

31.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shurtan Guzar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Orol Nukus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orol Nukus than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Shurtan Guzar - Orol Nukus Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shurtan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eshbutaev S. (G) 19. Khasanov N. 4. Khudoyberdiev U. 45. Kodirov G. 6. Kuziev S. 10. Mamasidikov T. 24. Narzullaev D. 55. Pirmukhamedov A. 33. Rahmatov B. 22. Sadulloev S. 3. Sultonmurodov S.	1. Ziyovutdinov N. (G) 9. Kutibaev I. 5. Kutybaev S. (C) 4. Musaev R. 99. Niyazmetov O. 7. Nizanov D. 44. Nomozov M. 19. Sheripov N. 23. Sindarov S. 8. Talasboev N. 11. Umirbekov A.
Substitutes
35. Abduraimov S. (G) 70. Jumaev M. 17. Khasanov J. 8. Nuriddinov S. 99. Saidazimov K. 77. Saidkhonov A. 11. Sharipov D. 7. Suvonov B. 14. Toshkuziev A.	. Akhmadzhonov B. . Daryabaev M. . Ismoilov D. . Juraboev O. . Kalmagambetov R. . Kuanishbaev Z. . Nasimov S. (G) . Rasulov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Kuziev S. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Mamasidikov T. (Pen),
30', Umirbekov A. ↓, Akhmadzhonov B. ↑,
41', 2 - 0, Khasanov N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sultonmurodov S. ↓, Toshkuziev A. ↑,
46', Kuziev S. ↓, Nuriddinov S. ↑,
46', Akhmadzhonov B. ↓, Rasulov M. ↑,
46', Nizanov D. ↓, Kuanishbaev Z. ↑,
46', Talasboev N. ↓, Kalmagambetov R. ↑,
56', Kutibaev I. 🟨,
58', Niyazmetov O. ↓, Ismoilov D. ↑,
61', 3 - 0, Narzullaev D. ⚽,
68', Rahmatov B. ↓, Saidkhonov A. ↑,
68', Narzullaev D. ↓, Suvonov B. ↑,
74', Kodirov G. ↓, Sharipov D. ↑,
88', Khudoyberdiev U. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 1, Kalmagambetov R. ⚽,
90+5', Kutybaev S. 🟨,
90+9', 4 - 1, Saidkhonov A. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Shurtan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Orol has had a series of away games.

Shurtan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shurtan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Shurtan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shurtan Guzar
Uzbek League
14.06.25	AGMK - Shurtan Guzar	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	Neftchi Fargona - Shurtan Guzar	4:0 ✺
17.05.25	Shurtan Guzar - Andijan	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Shurtan Guzar	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Shurtan Guzar - Dinamo Samarqand	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.2 TLWTL
- FK Orol Nukus
Uzbek Pro Liga
11.06.25	Olympic Tashkent - Orol Nukus	0:1 ✺
08.06.25	FarDU - Orol Nukus	0:1 ✺
27.05.25	Olimpik-Mobiuz - Orol Nukus	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Jayxun - Orol Nukus	0:0 ✺
08.05.25	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Orol Nukus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek Pro Liga
05.11.24	Orol Nukus - Shurtan Guzar	2:1
11.09.24	Shurtan Guzar - Orol Nukus	4:0
13.06.24	Orol Nukus - Shurtan Guzar	2:0
08.04.24	Shurtan Guzar - Orol Nukus	1:1

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