Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP IV - ROUND 6

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday


	Siarka Tarnobrzeg		Garbarnia Kraków

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.62
	1.94	3.4	3.23
	2.17	3.56	2.9	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.45)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	2.86 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
42.4%

Draw
26%

Garbarnia Kraków
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

25.7%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

26.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Siarka Tarnobrzeg's performance.

Garbarnia Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Garbarnia Kraków might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garbarnia Kraków than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Garbarnia Kraków could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Garbarnia Kraków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 3.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
30.08.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Sokół Sieniawa	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Wiślanie Jaśkowice - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:1 ✺
23.08.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Karpaty Krosno	7:0 ✺
19.08.23	Star Starachowice - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:0 ✺
13.08.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Czarni Połaniec	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLW
- Garbarnia Kraków
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
27.08.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Świdniczanka Świdnik	2:1 ✺
23.08.23	Podhale Nowy Targ - Garbarnia Kraków	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Wieczysta Kraków	2:3 ✺
12.08.23	Wisłoka Dębica - Garbarnia Kraków	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
09.08.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Garbarnia Kraków	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
15.04.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:1
10.09.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Garbarnia Kraków	3:2
Club Friendly
02.07.22	Garbarnia Kraków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:4
Polish Division 2
04.04.18	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Garbarnia Kraków	0:1
12.08.17	Garbarnia Kraków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:1
Polish Division 2 - East
17.05.14	Garbarnia Kraków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0

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