The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Star Starachowice 35.8%
Draw 25.9%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37%
26%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.1%
26.1%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Star Starachowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Siarka Tarnobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Star Starachowice - Siarka Tarnobrzeg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Orlik P. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, Boniecki B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 3 - 0, Szynka A. (Penalty Awarded),
60', 3 - 1, Peciak P. ⚽,
77', 4 - 1, Stefanski P. ⚽,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Star Starachowice won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Star Starachowice (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Siarka Tarnobrzeg is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Star Starachowice has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:18 (averaging 1.2:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Star Starachowice against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:5 goals (averaging 0.8:1.3 per game).