The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sibir Novosibirsk 45.8%
Draw 28.1%
Veles Moscow 26.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
29%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
28.7%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sibir Novosibirsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Veles Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Sibir Novosibirsk - Veles Moscow Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Kosarevskiy P. (G) 39. Kobyalko A. 11. Kvekveskiri D. 20. Laptev V. 21. Makurin A. 40. Nikitin D. 9. Nosov A. 3. Petrunin D. 54. Shmakov I. 10. Yakovlev D. 31. Zotov G.
1. Mitsaev R. (G) 90. Galkin V. 9. Giraev K. 5. Koloskov A. 88. Kovalkov M. 87. Nikin I. 80. Rybalko M. 97. Shubin A. 23. Skvortsov K. 77. Smirnov O. 22. Zavezen Y.
Substitutes
30. Alizade A. 2. Eliseev A. 55. Govor V. 49. Karaev M. 16. Karmin A. (G) 35. Kiselev M. (G) 23. Krotov A. 8. Matskharashvili N. 18. Sinyakov E. 19. Zapalatskiy S.
19. Bykovskiy A. 17. Kotov P. 76. Kuptsov I. (G) 6. Melikov I. 92. Popov P. 21. Sapozhnikov I. 20. Sysoev E. 8. Tarasenko Z. 70. Zakharzhevskiy M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Kobyalko A. ⚽,
18', Nosov A. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Kobyalko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Galkin V. ↓, Tarasenko Z. ↑,
46', Kovalkov M. ↓, Zakharzhevskiy M. ↑,
51', Laptev V. 🟨,
65', Zotov G. 🟨,
66', Shubin A. ↓, Melikov I. ↑,
67', Giraev K. ↓, Sysoev E. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Tarasenko Z. ⚽,
69', Nosov A. ↓, Zapalatskiy S. ↑,
73', Laptev V. ↓, Matskharashvili N. ↑,
81', Kobyalko A. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Makurin A. ↓, Karaev M. ↑,
83', Skvortsov K. ↓, Kotov P. ↑,
86', Yakovlev D. 🟨,
90+2', Petrunin D. 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 1-4.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sibir won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Sibir might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sibir won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Sibir won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).