The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sibir Novosibirsk 52.3%
Draw 25.7%
Kaluga 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.4%
26.4%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.3%
28.8%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sibir Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Sibir Novosibirsk - Kaluga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Kiselev M. (G) 2. Churikov I. 53. Deryugin A. 22. Kobyalko A. 5. Maksimenkov I. 11. Nikolaev O. 4. Redkovich D. 39. Stepanov K. 91. Vshivkov V. 81. Yangaev A. 31. Zotov G.
88. Tashaev R. (G) 14. Chibisov S. 33. Daliev D. 10. Grishchenko I. 2. Krotov S. 19. Kuzin N. Y. 66. Makarenko Y. 27. Muminov I. 94. Nadolsky A. 37. Shevchenko D. 32. Sokolov I.
Substitutes
8. Boldyrev B. 16. Karmin A. (G) 3. Petrunin D. 7. Popushoy A. 18. Sinyakov E. 19. Zapalatskiy S.
7. Akimov E. 77. Balashov K. 11. Balkizov A. 1. Eshchenko S. (G) 18. Ivanushkin L. 91. Lukinykh E. 78. Mukhin E. 59. Sherstobitov D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
27', Tashaev R. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Kobyalko A. (Penalty Awarded),
34', 2 - 0, Nikolaev O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 3 - 0, Stepanov K. ⚽,
58', Grishchenko I. 🟨,
63', Chibisov S. ↓, Mukhin E. ↑,
63', Kuzin N. Y. ↓, Balkizov A. ↑,
71', Grishchenko I. ↓, Sherstobitov D. ↑,
74', Vshivkov V. ↓, Zapalatskiy S. ↑,
76', Kobyalko A. ↓, Boldyrev B. ↑,
77', Daliev D. 🟨,
80', Nadolsky A. ↓, Balashov K. ↑,
80', Makarenko Y. ↓, Akimov E. ↑,
83', Balkizov A. 🟨,
85', Nikolaev O. ↓, Popushoy A. ↑,
87', Sherstobitov D. 🟨,
89', Yangaev A. 🟨,
90+3', Zotov G. 🟨,
90+3', Krotov S. 🟨,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 8th in the Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: ) and 10th in the Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: )).
Sibir is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Kaluga shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sibir could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Sibir is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Sibir has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:3 (averaging 1.4:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sibir against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals (averaging 2:0 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Sibir Novosibirsk
12
5
3
4
17:14
3
18
10
Kaluga
12
0
6
6
6:16
-10
6
Last Results with these Odds
Kaluga - the odds 4.26 are the expected chance of winning is 21.18%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.