Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA MITTELRHEIN - ROUND 8

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday


	Siegburger		Borussia Freialdenhoven

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	2.9
	2.19	3.6	2.97
	2.16	3.5	2.94
	2.1	3.6	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.07)	3.58 ↓ (3.75)	2.93 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siegburger
43%

Draw
25.7%

Borussia Freialdenhoven
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

24.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

23.2%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siegburger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Borussia Freialdenhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siegburger than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Freialdenhoven than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Siegburger won 2.

The competitors look crappy now.

Recently Siegburger have a series of guest games.

Siegburger will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Siegburger won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Siegburger won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siegburger SV 04
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
24.09.23	Glesch-Paffendorf - Siegburger	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Union Schafhausen - Siegburger	2:1 ✺
01.09.23	Siegburger - Bergisch Gladbach	1:3 ✺
20.08.23	Vichttal - Siegburger	1:3 ✺
13.08.23	Siegburger - Fortuna Köln II	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 TLLWT
- SC Borussia Freialdenhoven 1912
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
24.09.23	Borussia Freialdenhoven - Vichttal	0:2 ✺
17.09.23	Fortuna Köln II - Borussia Freialdenhoven	1:1 ✺
07.09.23	Borussia Freialdenhoven - Porz	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Hürth - Borussia Freialdenhoven	1:5 ✺
20.08.23	Blau-Weiß Königsdorf - Borussia Freialdenhoven	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
15.04.23	Borussia Freialdenhoven - Siegburger	2:1
25.09.22	Siegburger - Borussia Freialdenhoven	0:2
01.04.22	Siegburger - Borussia Freialdenhoven	4:2
19.09.21	Borussia Freialdenhoven - Siegburger	3:1
13.10.19	Siegburger - Borussia Freialdenhoven	2:1
26.05.19	Siegburger - Borussia Freialdenhoven	0:3
08.11.18	Borussia Freialdenhoven - Siegburger	1:0

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