Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Siegburger		VfL Alfter

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.2	4
	1.57	4	3.8
	1.56	4.1	4.1
	1.61	4.54	4.49
	1.64	4.2	4.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)	4.21 ↑ (4.2)	4.09 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siegburger
56.5%

Draw
21.4%

VfL Alfter
22.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56%

21.6%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

14.2%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siegburger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

VfL Alfter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siegburger than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Siegburger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VfL Alfter than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VfL Alfter could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Siegburger - VfL Alfter Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 10).

Siegburger is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Alfter is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Siegburger is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Siegburger won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Siegburger won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siegburger SV 04
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
28.11.21	Pesch - Siegburger	4:3 ✺
14.11.21	Siegburger - Glesch-Paffendorf	2:2 ✺
07.11.21	Breinig - Siegburger	1:4 ✺
30.10.21	Siegburger - Wesseling-Urfeld	4:0 ✺
24.10.21	Siegburger - Vichttal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTWWW
- VfL Alfter
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
28.11.21	VfL Alfter - Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler	2:1 ✺
14.11.21	Eilendorf - VfL Alfter	2:0 ✺
07.11.21	VfL Alfter - Bergisch Gladbach	0:5 ✺
31.10.21	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - VfL Alfter	4:2 ✺
24.10.21	VfL Alfter - Borussia Freialdenhoven	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
20.09.20	VfL Alfter - Siegburger	1:1
14.04.19	VfL Alfter - Siegburger	1:1
07.10.18	Siegburger - VfL Alfter	3:2
15.03.18	Siegburger - VfL Alfter	2:0
03.09.17	VfL Alfter - Siegburger	0:1
05.10.16	Siegburger - VfL Alfter	1:1

Siegburger - VfL Alfter

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Siegburger - VfL Alfter Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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