Match Info

Date: 7 November 2021, Sunday


	VfL Alfter		Bergisch Gladbach

	1	X	2
	4.4	4.4	1.5
	4	3.8	1.6
	4.3	4	1.54
	4.52	4.18	1.66
	4.98	4.4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↓ (4.64)	4.16 ↓ (4.5)	1.56 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VfL Alfter
20.4%

Draw
21.8%

Bergisch Gladbach
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

20.2%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

16.5%

73.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VfL Alfter has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Bergisch Gladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VfL Alfter than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergisch Gladbach than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bergisch Gladbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 4).

Recent matches Alfter is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bergisch Gladbach in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Bergisch Gladbach is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Alfter won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Alfter won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Alfter
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
31.10.21	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - VfL Alfter	4:2 ✺
24.10.21	VfL Alfter - Borussia Freialdenhoven	3:1 ✺
17.10.21	Frechen - VfL Alfter	0:0 ✺
06.10.21	Hennef 05 - VfL Alfter	4:1 ✺
26.09.21	VfL Alfter - Fortuna Köln II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTLW
- Bergisch Gladbach
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
31.10.21	Bergisch Gladbach - Pesch	3:2 ✺
24.10.21	Glesch-Paffendorf - Bergisch Gladbach	0:1 ✺
17.10.21	Bergisch Gladbach - Breinig	8:0 ✺
10.10.21	Wesseling-Urfeld - Bergisch Gladbach	0:3 ✺
06.10.21	Bergisch Gladbach - Hürth	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
12.05.19	Bergisch Gladbach - VfL Alfter	4:0
28.10.18	VfL Alfter - Bergisch Gladbach	2:4
13.05.18	Bergisch Gladbach - VfL Alfter	2:1
06.12.17	VfL Alfter - Bergisch Gladbach	2:1
26.03.17	Bergisch Gladbach - VfL Alfter	1:0
18.09.16	VfL Alfter - Bergisch Gladbach	1:1
22.05.16	Bergisch Gladbach - VfL Alfter	3:3

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