Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	VfL Alfter		Borussia Freialdenhoven

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.25
	2.38	3.6	2.28
	2.42	3.45	2.34
	2.56	3.76	2.45
	2.44	3.68	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.8)	3.62 ↓ (4)	2.34 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VfL Alfter
36.5%

Draw
24.9%

Borussia Freialdenhoven
38.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

22.7%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

17.3%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VfL Alfter has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Borussia Freialdenhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borussia Freialdenhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VfL Alfter than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with VfL Alfter that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Freialdenhoven than the current prediction. (+19.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Borussia Freialdenhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

VfL Alfter - Borussia Freialdenhoven Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 5).

Recent matches Alfter is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Freialdenhoven is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alfter could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Alfter won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Alfter won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Alfter
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
17.10.21	Frechen - VfL Alfter	0:0 ✺
06.10.21	Hennef 05 - VfL Alfter	4:1 ✺
26.09.21	VfL Alfter - Fortuna Köln II	2:0 ✺
19.09.21	Düren - VfL Alfter	5:0 ✺
12.09.21	VfL Alfter - Deutz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWLT
- SC Borussia Freialdenhoven 1912
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
17.10.21	Borussia Freialdenhoven - Pesch	0:1 ✺
10.10.21	Glesch-Paffendorf - Borussia Freialdenhoven	1:1 ✺
07.10.21	Borussia Freialdenhoven - Breinig	1:0 ✺
26.09.21	Wesseling-Urfeld - Borussia Freialdenhoven	1:2 ✺
19.09.21	Borussia Freialdenhoven - Siegburger	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
07.04.19	Borussia Freialdenhoven - VfL Alfter	2:1
30.09.18	VfL Alfter - Borussia Freialdenhoven	0:2
13.04.18	Borussia Freialdenhoven - VfL Alfter	4:1
29.11.17	VfL Alfter - Borussia Freialdenhoven	2:1
09.04.17	Borussia Freialdenhoven - VfL Alfter	1:1
02.10.16	VfL Alfter - Borussia Freialdenhoven	2:2
29.05.16	VfL Alfter - Borussia Freialdenhoven	2:0

VfL Alfter - Borussia Freialdenhoven

Match Info

Current Win Probability

VfL Alfter - Borussia Freialdenhoven Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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