Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 5

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday


	Sportfreunde Lotte		Köln II

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.25	3.5
	1.85	4.4	3.45
	1.76	3.88	3.66
	1.65	3.85	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.64)	4.1 ↑ (4)	3.64 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportfreunde Lotte
52.4%

Draw
22.4%

Köln II
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

22.8%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

21.6%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportfreunde Lotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Köln II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportfreunde Lotte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln II than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Sportfreunde Lotte - Köln II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SF Lotte won 1.

SF Lotte is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Köln II's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Köln II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, SF Lotte is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, SF Lotte won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, SF Lotte won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Regionalliga West
20.08.25	Schalke 04 II - Sportfreunde Lotte	3:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Freiburg	0:2 ✺
German Regionalliga West
10.08.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Borussia Dortmund II	3:5 ✺
02.08.25	Rödinghausen - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Velbert	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWT
- 1. Köln II
German Regionalliga West
17.08.25	Köln II - Siegen	2:4 ✺
08.08.25	Paderborn II - Köln II	5:0 ✺
02.08.25	Köln II - Wiedenbrück	3:0 ✺
26.07.25	Bocholt - Köln II	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Köln II - TSV Steinbach Haiger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
25.04.25	Köln II - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:3
02.11.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Köln II	0:1
05.03.22	Sportfreunde Lotte - Köln II	1:1
25.09.21	Köln II - Sportfreunde Lotte	4:0
16.05.21	Sportfreunde Lotte - Köln II	2:2
28.11.20	Köln II - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:0
02.02.20	Sportfreunde Lotte - Köln II	4:3

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