The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Siello 27.2%
Draw 30.4%
Las Rozas 42.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.1%
27.8%
47.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.2%
26.8%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Siello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Las Rozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siello than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Rozas than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Las Rozas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Siello - Las Rozas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Nacho ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Vassilakis C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Las Rozas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Las Rozas could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Siello won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Siello won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Las Rozas
5
3
1
1
11:6
5
10
17
Siello
5
1
0
4
5:13
-8
3
Last Results with these Odds
Las Rozas - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.06%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.