Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 26Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Siello |
|
Galapagar |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.4 |
2.98 |
2.82 |
|
 |
2.58 |
2.98 |
2.76 |
|
 |
2.55 |
3.01 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.52 |
2.9 |
2.69 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↓
(2.55) |
2.93 ↓
(3.2) |
2.75 ↑
(2.55) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Siello
36.1% | Draw
30.9% | Galapagar
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Siello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Galapagar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siello than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (+2.4%)Siello - Galapagar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).Recent performances by Siello have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Galapagar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Galapagar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Siello won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).Including home match between the teams, Siello won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Galapagar | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 8 |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
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| 17 | Siello | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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