Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 25Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Siello |
|
Pozuelo de Alarcón |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3 |
2.92 |
2.3 |
|
 |
3.25 |
2.99 |
2.26 |
|
 |
3.19 |
3.02 |
2.26 |
 Watch |
 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
2.25 |
|
 |
3.22 |
3.12 |
2.29 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.15 ↑
(2.86) |
2.99 ↓
(3) |
2.27 ↓
(2.4) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Siello
29.1% | Draw
30.6% | Pozuelo de Alarcón
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Siello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Pozuelo de Alarcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siello than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (-3.2%)Siello - Pozuelo de Alarcón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 75', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+5', 🟥,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6).Siello is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Pozuelo de Alarcón has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Pozuelo de Alarcón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Siello won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).Including home match between the teams, Siello won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 12 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
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| 17 | Siello | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Siello - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 31.8%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 | | | 26.10.25 | Pozuelo de Alarcón - Siello | 2:1 | | 04.02.24 | Siello - Pozuelo de Alarcón | 2:2 | | 17.09.23 | Pozuelo de Alarcón - Siello | 1:0 | | 07.02.21 | Pozuelo de Alarcón - Siello | 0:0 |
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