Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Siello		Trival Valderas

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.05	3
	2.19	3.07	3.28	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.2
	2.16	2.98	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.32)	2.98 ↓ (3.2)	3.2 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siello
41.2%

Draw
30.5%

Trival Valderas
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

28.8%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Trival Valderas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siello than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Siello - Trival Valderas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Aragon A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8).

Recent performances by Siello have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Trival Valderas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Siello won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Siello won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Trival Valderas	5	3	2	0	8:4	4	11
17	Siello	5	1	0	4	5:13	-8	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siello FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
15.02.26	Torrejón - Siello	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Siello - Parla	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Alcorcón B - Siello	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Siello - México	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Tres Cantos - Siello	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLW
- CF Trival Valderas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
15.02.26	Trival Valderas - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Leganés B - Trival Valderas	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Trival Valderas - Galapagar	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Trival Valderas - Torrejón	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Parla - Trival Valderas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.10.25	Trival Valderas - Siello	1:0
21.04.24	Trival Valderas - Siello	2:0
03.12.23	Siello - Trival Valderas	2:0

Siello - Trival Valderas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide