Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Tres Cantos		Siello

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.15	2.45
	2.53	3.28	2.62	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	2.64	3.26	2.34
	2.66	3.25	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.1)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)	2.42 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tres Cantos
34.4%

Draw
28.2%

Siello
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

27.6%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tres Cantos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tres Cantos's form might have worsened.

Siello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Siello's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tres Cantos than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tres Cantos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siello than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Siello, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tres Cantos - Siello Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Siello (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Aragon A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Tres Cantos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Siello is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tres Cantos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tres Cantos could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tres Cantos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Tres Cantos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Siello	5	1	0	4	5:13	-8	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDF Tres Cantos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.01.26	Tres Cantos - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Leganés B - Tres Cantos	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Tres Cantos - Trival Valderas	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Torrejón - Tres Cantos	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Tres Cantos - Parla	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LTWLW
- Siello FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.01.26	Carabanchel - Siello	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Siello - Móstoles URJC	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	San Sebastian Reyes B - Siello	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Siello - Racing Madrid	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Las Rozas - Siello	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.05.24	Siello - Tres Cantos	1:2
21.01.24	Tres Cantos - Siello	0:0

Tres Cantos - Siello: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide