Match Info

AFRICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 5

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex (Monrovia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 10
Croatia	SportKlub 10
Guinea-bissau	TGB
India	FanCode, FanCode
Montenegro	Sportklub 10
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 10
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	SportKlub 10
Sierra-leone	AYV
World	FIFA+


	Sierra Leone		Guinea Bissau

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.9	2.3	Watch
	3.2	3	2.3	Watch
	3.5	2.8	2.35	Watch
	3.34	2.94	2.36
	3.42	2.79	2.41	Watch
	3.6	2.8	2.3	Watch
	3.64	2.9	2.29	Watch
	3.5	2.8	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.88)	2.87 ↑ (2.8)	2.33 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sierra Leone
27%

Draw
32.7%

Guinea Bissau
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

33.3%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sierra Leone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sierra Leone's form might have worsened.

Guinea Bissau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guinea Bissau's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	11.8%	82.4%

Sierra Leone - Guinea Bissau Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Sierra Leone will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Guinea Bissau will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guinea Bissau: 64.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bangura M. 11. Bundu M. (C) Plymouth 4. Dumbuya A. AC Oulu 14. Fornah T. Salford 12. Jalloh N. 21. Juma Bah A. Lens 9. Kamara M. N. East End Lions 8. Koroma A. Al-Shahaniya 1. Sesay J. B. 18. Tarawallie S. Kallon 5. Turay A. Dubocica	12. Balde M. (G) Penafiel 8. Alfa Semedo Neom SC 9. Beto Everton 15. Encada J. Pharco FC 5. Fati B. SJK 18. Felix V. Vitoria Guimaraes 22. Jardel Shmona 11. Jorginho Omonia Aradippou 20. Mane S. Academico Viseu 2. Rofino V. G. Leiria 3. Sambinha Maccabi Bnei Raina
Substitutes
3. Bah C. 16. Bangura D. 2. Bilili Sesay J. 20. Conteh A. Mjondalen 7. Dumbuya M. Kallon 15. Janneh D. 10. Kamara K. 17. Kamara M. Leixoes 23. Koroma F. (G) 22. Koroma H. 19. Samadia E. Hartford Athletic 6. Turay I. Bo Rangers	21. Banjaqui Z. Feirense 17. Batista G. Moreirense 19. Bikel J. Netanya 13. Camara S. 1. Djalo M. (G) Koeppchen 23. Embadje F. (G) Collado Villalba 7. Franculino Midtjylland 16. Gomes S. Al Wasl 4. Junior M. Oliveirense 14. Monteiro T. Portimonense 6. Ze Turbo AEL Limassol
Coaches
Kallon M.	Boa Morte L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Bundu M. ⚽,
38', Jalloh N. 🟨,
41', Bundu M. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Fati B. ↓, Gomes S. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Kamara M. N. ⚽,
63', Felix V. ↓, Monteiro T. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Monteiro T. ⚽,
73', Fornah T. ↓, Bilili Sesay J. ↑,
75', Kamara M. N. ↓, Turay I. ↑,
75', Beto ↓, Franculino ↑,
75', Mane S. ↓, Bikel J. ↑,
78', Encada J. 🟨,
78', Bangura M. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
90+2', Jardel ↓, Junior M. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 1, Turay I. ⚽,

Preview

Neutral location.

Guinea Bissau will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sierra Leone won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sierra Leone
Africa Cup of Nations
19.11.24	Sierra Leone - Zambia	0:2 ✺
13.11.24	Chad - Sierra Leone	1:1 ✺
African Nations Championship
01.11.24	Liberia - Sierra Leone	1:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
15.10.24	Sierra Leone - Ivory Coast	1:0 ✺
11.10.24	Ivory Coast - Sierra Leone	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 LTTWL
- Guinea Bissau
Africa Cup of Nations
19.11.24	Guinea Bissau - Mozambique	1:2 ✺
15.11.24	Eswatini - Guinea Bissau	1:1 ✺
15.10.24	Guinea Bissau - Mali	0:0 ✺
11.10.24	Mali - Guinea Bissau	1:0 ✺
10.09.24	Mozambique - Guinea Bissau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
11.09.23	Guinea Bissau - Sierra Leone	2:1
13.06.22	Sierra Leone - Guinea Bissau	2:2

Sierra Leone - Guinea Bissau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide