Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 3

Date: 11 October 2024, Friday

Location: Stade du 26 Mars (Bamako)

Referee: Uwikunda S. (Rwa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Guinea-bissau	TGB
Mali	ORTM
Portugal	Sport TV5


	Mali		Guinea Bissau

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.28	4.4	10
	1.3	4.5	13	Watch
	1.32	4.34	11.62
	1.33	4.48	11.21	Watch
	1.33	4.33	8.5
	1.32	4.55	11.5	Watch
	1.3	4.5	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.35)	4.44 ↑ (4)	11.26 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mali
70.8%

Draw
20.9%

Guinea Bissau
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

22.7%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Guinea Bissau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Mali - Guinea Bissau Predictions

Users Predictions: Mali will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Diarra D. (G) Young Africans 21. Diakite S. Palermo 5. Diaby A. St. Gallen 15. Fofana M. Amiens SC 17. Sinayoko L. Auxerre 23. Dieng A. Al Kholood 12. Camara M. Al-Sadd 13. Doucoure S. Laval 9. Toure E. B. VfB Stuttgart 19. Djenepo M. Antalyaspor 10. Bissouma Y. (C) Tottenham	23. Embadje F. (G) Collado Villalba 15. Encada J. Pharco FC 6. Bura San Antonio FC 22. Sangante O. Dunkerque 3. Sambinha Maccabi Bnei Raina 5. Cande F. Metz 25. Banjaqui Z. Feirense 19. Bikel J. Netanya 8. Alfa Semedo Neom SC 17. Balde M. (C) Brest 9. Beto Everton
Substitutes
24. Camara A. Sturm Graz 2. Cisse I. Schalke 11. Coulibaly L. Lecce 3. Diallo O. Djoliba 18. Doumbia M. Watford 4. Haidara A. RB Leipzig 20. Koita S. CSKA Moscow 22. Koita Y. (G) Djoliba 8. Sangare M. Rapid Vienna 6. Sissoko I. Bochum 14. Traore A. Amedspor 1. Traore N. (G)	13. Balde E. SC Farense 11. Balde R. Wuhan Three Towns 12. Costa Te R. 7. Dalcio Crvena zvezda 1. Djalo M. (G) Koeppchen 10. Franculino Midtjylland 16. Jardel Shmona 20. Mane S. Academico Viseu 21. Nanu Samsunspor 14. Rodrigues M. Yverdon 2. Rofino V. G. Leiria 24. Ze Turbo Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Coaches
Saintfiet T.	Boa Morte L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Encada J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sambinha ↓, Rofino V. G. ↑,
59', Sinayoko L. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
59', Djenepo M. ↓, Koita S. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Toure E. B. ⚽,
64', Balde M. 🟨,
68', Bura 🟨,
68', Bura ↓, Mane S. ↑,
69', Balde M. ↓, Dalcio ↑,
69', Cande F. ↓, Nanu ↑,
80', Bikel J. ↓, Ze Turbo ↑,
82', Camara M. ↓, Diallo O. ↑,
82', Diakite S. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
89', Bissouma Y. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,

Preview

In this match Mali is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mali won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:3 (average 4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mali
Africa Cup of Nations
10.09.24	Eswatini - Mali	0:1 ✺
06.09.24	Mali - Mozambique	1:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
11.06.24	Madagascar - Mali	0:0 ✺
06.06.24	Mali - Ghana	1:2 ✺
Friendly
26.03.24	Mali - Nigeria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTLW
- Guinea Bissau
Africa Cup of Nations
10.09.24	Mozambique - Guinea Bissau	2:1 ✺
05.09.24	Guinea Bissau - Eswatini	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.24	Guinea Bissau - Egypt	1:1 ✺
06.06.24	Guinea Bissau - Ethiopia	0:0 ✺
Friendly
25.03.24	Guinea Bissau - Sudan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
06.01.24	Mali - Guinea Bissau	6:2
African Nations Championship
04.08.19	Mali - Guinea Bissau	3:0
05.07.15	Mali - Guinea Bissau	3:1

Mali - Guinea Bissau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide