Match Info

1. MFL - Round 28

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Sileks		AP Brera Strumica

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.45	5.5
	1.4	5.05	4.95
	1.45	4.99	5.05	Watch
	1.4	4.2	5.5
	1.5	4.23	5.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.39)	4.58 ↑ (4.33)	5.33 ↓ (6.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sileks
63.2%

Draw
19.8%

AP Brera Strumica
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

21.1%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

20.1%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sileks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

AP Brera Strumica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sileks than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sileks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AP Brera Strumica than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	5.9%	82.4%

Sileks - AP Brera Strumica Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Sileks will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Brera Strumica will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brera Strumica: 64.3% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brera Strumica (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Brera Strumica (2.42) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.25 - Brera Strumica (3.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Brera Strumica (4.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Brera Strumica (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Djekov L. (G) 9. Alic A. 44. Buturovic E. 22. Delimedjac M. 8. Dodev D. 16. Donov I. 23. Eftimov K. (C) 71. Miguel Pires 19. Mishov A. 99. Subert I. 7. Timovski A.	90. Dikovski D. (G) 33. Arizankoski A. 26. Doshev G. 20. Ivanovski Z. (C) 21. Lukovic L. 88. Makic E. 7. Petrovic L. 24. Stojilevski M. 8. Todorov M. 23. Velkoski V. 3. Velkov A.
Substitutes
13. Andonov Z. 6. Angjeleski D. 18. Berovikj O. 1. Bozinovski D. (G) 3. Dimitrievski M. 5. Djekov G. 77. Gerasov M. 10. Mircevski M. 26. Nikolic M. 21. Nikolovski M. 11. Velinovski K.	32. Antovski F. 28. Hassan W. 82. Iloski D. (G) 25. Kouakou K. Y. 22. Mihailov F. 10. Stojanov K. 9. Velickovski N. 91. Velkov B. 1. Vrgov S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, ⚽,
59', 3 - 0, ⚽,
69', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sileks won 4.

Recent performances by Sileks have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brera Strumica has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sileks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sileks is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sileks won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:23. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sileks won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 2.3:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sileks	8	2	3	3	13:10	3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sileks
North Macedonian 1 MFL
11.04.26	Sileks - Bashkimi Kumanovo	1:0 ✺
07.04.26	Tikveš - Sileks	0:3 ✺
20.03.26	Rabotnički - Sileks	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Sileks - Pelister	0:0 ✺
09.03.26	Sileks - Vardar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLTL
- AP Brera Strumica
North Macedonian 1 MFL
14.04.26	AP Brera Strumica - Makedonija Gjorče Petrov	1:1 ✺
07.04.26	Bashkimi Kumanovo - AP Brera Strumica	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	AP Brera Strumica - Arsimi	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Tikveš - AP Brera Strumica	6:1 ✺
14.03.26	Vardar - AP Brera Strumica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
05.11.25	AP Brera Strumica - Sileks	3:3
11.08.25	Sileks - AP Brera Strumica	5:0
15.03.25	AP Brera Strumica - Sileks	0:2
03.11.24	AP Brera Strumica - Sileks	0:1
18.08.24	Sileks - AP Brera Strumica	4:0
16.03.24	Sileks - AP Brera Strumica	2:1
18.02.24	Sileks - AP Brera Strumica	0:1

Sileks - AP Brera Strumica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide