Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 6 - ROUND 6

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Silla		Castellonense

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.4
	2	3.1	3.6
	1.96	3.05	3.74
	1.96	3.16	3.64
	2	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.12)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	3.6 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Silla
45.5%

Draw
29.3%

Castellonense
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

25.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Silla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Silla than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Silla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castellonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Silla - Castellonense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Silla is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Castellonense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Castellonense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Silla will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Silla CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
08.10.23	Patacona - Silla	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Silla - Español de San Vicente	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Gandía - Silla	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Silla - Soneja	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Castellon B - Silla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTTL
- UD Castellonense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
08.10.23	Castellonense - Ontinyent 1931	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Elche Ilicitano - Castellonense	6:0 ✺
24.09.23	Castellonense - Utiel	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Levante B - Castellonense	3:1 ✺
10.09.23	Castellonense - Burriana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

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