Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 31

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Castellonense		Ontinyent 1931

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.35	6.5
	1.53	3.46	6.63
	1.54	3.47	6.72
	1.57	3.2	6
	1.51	3.5	7.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.72)	3.4 ↑ (3.08)	6.57 ↑ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellonense
59.4%

Draw
26.8%

Ontinyent 1931
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

29.3%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

21.2%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellonense's performance.

Ontinyent 1931 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (-21.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellonense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ontinyent 1931 than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ontinyent 1931 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Castellonense - Ontinyent 1931 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
78', 2 - 1, ⚽,
83', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).

In recent matches, Castellonense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ontinyent 1931 is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ontinyent 1931 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Castellonense is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Castellonense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Castellonense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ontinyent 1931	5	2	0	3	6:6	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Castellonense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
12.04.26	Villarreal C - Castellonense	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Castellonense - La Nucía	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Crevillente Deportivo - Castellonense	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Castellonense - Soneja	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Buñol - Castellonense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWL
- Ontinyent 1931 CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
12.04.26	Ontinyent 1931 - Atlético Saguntino	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Ontinyent 1931 - Villarreal C	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	La Nucía - Ontinyent 1931	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Ontinyent 1931 - Crevillente Deportivo	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Soneja - Ontinyent 1931	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
21.01.26	Ontinyent 1931 - Castellonense	3:2
05.10.24	Castellonense - Ontinyent 1931	1:2
20.03.24	Ontinyent 1931 - Castellonense	2:0
08.10.23	Castellonense - Ontinyent 1931	0:1

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