Match Info

CAF Confederation Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium (Dar es Salaam)

Referee: Houngnandande D. (Ben)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, SuperSport Maximo 360, Supersport WWE
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 4, SuperSport WWE
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Simba		Al Masry

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.55	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.53	3.55	6.5
	1.5	3.4	7
	1.58	3.76	6.21	Watch
	1.55	3.6	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (2.4)	3.59 ↑ (2.7)	6.41 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

Watch this match and CAF Confederation Cup with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Xtra

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Current Win Probability

Simba
59.8%

Draw
25.8%

Al Masry
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

34%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

33.6%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Simba's performance.

Al Masry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Masry might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simba than the current prediction. (-21%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Simba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Masry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Simba - Al Masry Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Simba will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Al Masry will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Masry (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Camara M. (G) 12. Kapombe S. 2. Karaboue C. 14. Hamza A. 15. Hussein M. (C) 38. Kibu D. 21. Kagoma Y. 6. Luamba Ngoma F. 34. Mpanzu E. 11. Mukwala S. 10. Ahoua J. C.	27. Gad M. (C) 14. Hamada M. 2. El Mohamady B. 26. Sobhi K. 6. Makhlouf M. 20. Eid A. 5. El Gohary Y. 25. Samadou A. 13. El Saadawy A. 9. Salah Mohsen 30. Deghmoum A.
Substitutes
1. Ally Salim (G) 23. Awesu A. A. 37. Balua E. 36. Chasambi L. 17. Fernandes D. 3. Kameta D. 13. Leonel Ateba 26. Mutale J. 29. Nouma V.	8. Ali H. 24. Badji P. 10. Bambo Karim 28. Ben Youssef F. 7. El Eraki K. 19. Faisal H. 18. Hamdy M. (G) 29. Hashem M. 22. Mido Gaber
Coaches
Davids F.	Boujelbene A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Mpanzu E. ⚽, Kapombe S. (A),
32', 2 - 0, Mukwala S. ⚽, Hussein M. (A),
45', Deghmoum A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', El Gohary Y. ↓, Hashem M. ↑,
46', Samadou A. ↓, Mido Gaber ↑,
55', Eid A. 🟨,
57', Makhlouf M. 🟨,
75', Hussein M. ↓, Nouma V. ↑,
79', Mido Gaber 🟨,
84', Gad M. 🟨,
88', El Mohamady B. 🟨,
88', Salah Mohsen ↓, Ben Youssef F. ↑,
90', Luamba Ngoma F. ↓, Awesu A. A. ↑,
90+6', Deghmoum A. ↓, Bambo Karim ↑,
Penalties (4 - 1)
1, Ahoua J. C. (Pen),
1, Mido Gaber (Pen),
2, Mukwala S. (Pen),
2, Ben Youssef F. (Pen),
3, Kibu D. (Pen),
3, Hamada M. (Pen),
4, Kapombe S. (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Simba is Qualified for CAF Confederation Cup (Play Offs )

Simba is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Al Masry is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Simba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Simba is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Simba won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Simba won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simba SC
CAF Confederation Cup
02.04.25	Al Masry - Simba	2:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
14.03.25	Simba - Dodoma Jiji	6:0 ✺
01.03.25	Coastal Union - Simba	0:3 ✺
24.02.25	Simba - Azam	2:2 ✺
19.02.25	Namungo - Simba	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWTW
- Al Masry Club
Egyptian League Cup
05.04.25	Al Masry - Ceramica Cleopatra	1:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
02.04.25	Al Masry - Simba	2:0 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
24.03.25	National Bank of Egypt - Al Masry	1:1 ✺
19.03.25	Al Masry - ZED	1:1 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
12.03.25	Pyramids - Al Masry	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
02.04.25	Al Masry - Simba	2:0
17.03.18	Al Masry - Simba	0:0
07.03.18	Simba - Al Masry	2:2

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