Match Info

Date: 19 July 2020, Sunday


	Simba		Alliance Schools

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.5	6.75
	1.35	5	6
	1.37	5	5
	1.29	5	7
	1.46	4.98	4.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.3)	5.1 ↓ (5.5)	5.83 ↓ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simba
66.8%

Draw
17.7%

Alliance Schools
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

16.4%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

8.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Alliance Schools has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simba than the current prediction. (-29.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Simba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alliance Schools than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alliance Schools could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Simba - Alliance Schools Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
16.07.20	Simba - Mbao	2:3 ✺
08.07.20	Namungo - Simba	0:0 ✺
05.07.20	Ndanda - Simba	0:0 ✺
28.06.20	Prisons - Simba	0:0 ✺
24.06.20	Mbeya City - Simba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTTTW
- Alliance Schools FC
Tanzanian Premier League
15.07.20	JKT Tanzania - Alliance Schools	1:1 ✺
09.07.20	Alliance Schools - Lipuli	2:0 ✺
05.07.20	Alliance Schools - Mtibwa Sugar	1:1 ✺
27.06.20	Alliance Schools - Coastal Union	1:0 ✺
24.06.20	Alliance Schools - Polisi Tanzania	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
19.01.20	Alliance Schools - Simba	1:4
23.04.19	Alliance Schools - Simba	0:2

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