Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 27

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sokoine Stadium (Mbeya)


	Mbeya City		Simba

	1	X	2
	14.00	5.00	1.20
	11	4.95	1.23
	11.02	5.49	1.19
	12.35	5.49	1.21	Watch
	15	4.8	1.2
	15	5.3	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.06 ↑ (10.15)	5.17 ↑ (4.13)	1.2 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mbeya City
6.9%

Draw
17.5%

Simba
75.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mbeya City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Simba's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mbeya City - Simba Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mbeya City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Simba will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mussa H. (G) 10. Ambokile E. (C) 26. Buha A. 42. Dilunga H. 33. Kijili K. 54. Lidah H. 19. Msuya R. 17. Mwani W. 15. Mwasa D. 28. Pemba K. 5. Seleman Mbegu Y.	17. Chama C. 23. De Reuck R. 7. Gueye L. 21. Kagoma Y. 8. Kante A. 15. Kapombe S. (C) 35. Maema N. 5. Mligo A. 34. Mpanzu E. 39. Rafiu Kassali A. 25. Toure
Substitutes
18. Dondola S. (G) 24. Kassim M. I. . Kulandana 14. Lukandamila D. 20. Majimengi H. 60. Maranyingi B. 16. Naushad S. 4. Pillar K. 32. Simon M. . Stewart	28. Abel H. (G) . Duchu 32. Kibabage N. 63. Kibaila B. 10. Loemba I. 4. Masinde V. 60. Mbegu H. 40. Mwalimu S. 20. Oura A. A. 37. Semfuko H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 🟨,
35', 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Mpanzu E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mbeya City won 1.

Mbeya City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Simba is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mbeya City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Simba is the obvious favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mbeya City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:22. (average 0.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mbeya City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Simba	6	6	0	0	11:2	9	18
6	Mbeya City	6	3	1	2	6:4	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mbeya City FC
Tanzanian Premier League
13.06.26	Mbeya City - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0 ✺
26.05.26	Singida Black Stars - Mbeya City	4:1 ✺
21.05.26	Namungo - Mbeya City	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	Mbeya City - Coastal Union	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	JKT Tanzania - Mbeya City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLTLL
- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
14.06.26	Simba - Pamba	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Simba - Dodoma Jiji	1:0 ✺
21.05.26	Coastal Union - Simba	1:2 ✺
14.05.26	Mashujaa - Simba	0:3 ✺
10.05.26	Simba - Prisons	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
04.12.25	Simba - Mbeya City	3:0
18.01.23	Simba - Mbeya City	3:2
23.11.22	Mbeya City - Simba	1:1
16.06.22	Simba - Mbeya City	3:0
17.01.22	Mbeya City - Simba	1:0
22.06.21	Simba - Mbeya City	4:1
13.12.20	Mbeya City - Simba	0:1

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