Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 30

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: KMC Stadium (Dar es Salaam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2


	Simba		Kinondoni MC

	1	X	2
	1.02	18.50	34.00
	1.04	9.8	29
	1.04	11.24	15.85
	1.04	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.02	11	22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 ↑ (1.02)	10.31 ↓ (15)	20.37 ↓ (51)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simba
86.9%

Draw
8.7%

Kinondoni MC
4.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

91.9%

6.3%

1.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Kinondoni MC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Simba - Kinondoni MC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Abel H. (G) 18. Abraham M. 8. Kante A. 12. Kapombe S. (C) 63. Kibaila B. 10. Loemba I. 4. Masinde V. 60. Mbegu H. 40. Mwalimu S. 11. Mwangosi B. 37. Semfuko H.	18. Bomboma I. (G) 13. Anyimike B. 79. Baraja 68. Maligisa S. 12. Mosha N. J. 30. Mussa R. 14. Mwijage E. 44. Oreko E. 10. Saliboko D. (C) 60. Samata M. 50. Tondi K.
Substitutes
17. Chama C. . Duchu 7. Gueye L. 21. Kagoma Y. 35. Maema N. 5. Mligo A. 34. Mpanzu E. 20. Oura A. A. 39. Rafiu Kassali A. 25. Toure O.	71. Aimari S. 86. Ally H. 34. Athuman H. (G) 11. Chambo R. . Donald S. . Jammy 37. Lumambo S. 55. Moshi Z. 21. Mwaituka S. 23. Paulo O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mwangosi B. ↓, Mligo A. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Loemba I. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Simba is Qualified for CAF Champions League (Qualification )

Kinondoni is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Simba won 4.

Simba has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kinondoni has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kinondoni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Simba has had a series of home games.

In this match, Simba is the clear favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Simba won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:8. (average 2.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Simba won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 2.2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Simba	6	6	0	0	11:2	9	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
27.06.26	Simba - Singida Black Stars	2:0 ✺
Tanzanian Federation Cup
20.06.26	Simba - Coastal Union	4:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
17.06.26	Mbeya City - Simba	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	Simba - Pamba	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Simba - Dodoma Jiji	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWW
- Kinondoni MC
Tanzanian Premier League
27.06.26	Mashujaa - Kinondoni MC	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Kinondoni MC - Namungo	2:3 ✺
12.06.26	Kinondoni MC - TRA United	0:1 ✺
25.05.26	Azam - Kinondoni MC	3:0 ✺
20.05.26	Kinondoni MC - Pamba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
11.02.26	Kinondoni MC - Simba	0:2
11.05.25	Kinondoni MC - Simba	1:2
06.11.24	Simba - Kinondoni MC	4:0
25.05.24	Simba - Kinondoni MC	1:0
23.12.23	Kinondoni MC - Simba	2:2
26.12.22	Kinondoni MC - Simba	1:3
07.09.22	Simba - Kinondoni MC	2:2

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