Match Info

AFRICA: CAF CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 2

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium (Dar es Salaam)

Referee: Yuven Ngwa B. (Cmr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Simba		Raja Casablanca

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.88	4.5	Watch
	1.85	2.85	4.33
	1.9	2.8	4.75
	2.1	2.7	4.44
	1.85	3	4.2
	2.1	2.9	3.94	Watch
	1.9	2.95	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.23)	2.87 ↓ (3.04)	4.41 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simba
47.3%

Draw
31.9%

Raja Casablanca
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

30.4%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

29.4%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Simba's performance.

Raja Casablanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raja Casablanca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simba than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raja Casablanca than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raja Casablanca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Simba - Raja Casablanca Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Simba will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Raja Casablanca will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Raja Casablanca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Simba will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simba SC
CAF Champions League
11.02.23	Horoya - Simba	1:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
03.02.23	Simba - Singida Fountain Gate	3:1 ✺
22.01.23	Dodoma Jiji - Simba	0:1 ✺
18.01.23	Simba - Mbeya City	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.23	CSKA Moscow - Simba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWWT
- Raja Casablanca
CAF Champions League
10.02.23	Raja Casablanca - Vipers	5:0 ✺
Moroccan Botola
28.01.23	Olympic Safi - Raja Casablanca	3:1 ✺
24.01.23	Difaa El Jadida - Raja Casablanca	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Raja Casablanca - FAR Rabat	1:0 ✺
17.01.23	Raja Casablanca - Mouloudia Club dOujda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTWW

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