Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 10

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Jamhuri Stadium (Dodoma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Dodoma Jiji		Simba

	1	X	2
	10	3.7	1.36
	7.5	3.55	1.44
	7.56	3.68	1.46	Watch
	7.5	3.5	1.44
	7.45	4	1.37
	9	4.4	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.17 ↓ (9.35)	3.81 ↓ (4.4)	1.4 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dodoma Jiji
11.1%

Draw
23.8%

Simba
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.7%

20.7%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.3%

19.8%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dodoma Jiji has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Simba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dodoma Jiji than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simba than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Simba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dodoma Jiji - Simba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Mgore D. (G) 24. Banda A. 3. Bikoko A. 11. Edgar W. 6. Hoza S. 40. Kamagi G. 53. Kayanda F. 28. Khleffin S. 14. Kibuta M. 27. Munganga N. 26. Nsata A. (C)	39. Tanja M. (G) 17. Chama C. 23. De Reuck R. (C) 29. Gueye L. 21. Kagoma Y. 12. Kapombe S. 32. Kibabage N. 10. Loemba I. 40. Mwalimu S. 20. Oura A. A. 25. Toure O.
Substitutes
7. Ambundo D. 38. Hussein M. (G) 30. Kasanga G. 13. Kimweli A. 49. Maguri E. 33. Makanga G. 9. Mgaza Y. 20. Mhilu D. 23. Milandu D. 10. Waziri J.	28. Abel H. (G) 18. Abraham M. 15. Duchu 8. Kante A. 35. Maema N. 4. Masinde V. 5. Mligo A. 34. Mpanzu E. 11. Mwangosi B. 37. Semfuko H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nsata A. ↓, Kimweli A. ↑,
52', Kibuta M. 🟨,
65', Mwalimu S. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
65', Gueye L. ↓, Mpanzu E. ↑,
69', Kimweli A. 🟨,
70', Edgar W. 🟨,
73', Khleffin S. ↓, Milandu D. ↑,
74', Khleffin S. 🟨,
83', Kayanda F. ↓, Maguri E. ↑,
90+2', Hoza S. ↓, Mhilu D. ↑,
90+2', Kapombe S. ↓, Duchu ↑,
90+5', Kagoma Y. ↓, Mwangosi B. ↑,
90+5', Mgore D. 🟨,
90+10', Edgar W. ↓, Waziri J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dodoma won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Dodoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Simba is the clear favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Dodoma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2:22. (average 0.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dodoma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Simba	6	6	0	0	11:2	9	18
7	Dodoma Jiji	6	3	1	2	4:4	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dodoma Jiji FC
Tanzanian Premier League
12.02.26	Dodoma Jiji - TRA United	3:0 ✺
08.02.26	Dodoma Jiji - Kinondoni MC	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Mbeya City - Dodoma Jiji	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	JKT Tanzania - Dodoma Jiji	0:1 ✺
27.01.26	Young Africans - Dodoma Jiji	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWTWL
- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
22.02.26	Prisons - Simba	0:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
14.02.26	Simba - Stade Malien	1:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
11.02.26	Kinondoni MC - Simba	0:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
07.02.26	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Simba	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Simba - Espérance ST	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
14.03.25	Simba - Dodoma Jiji	6:0
29.09.24	Dodoma Jiji - Simba	0:1
17.05.24	Dodoma Jiji - Simba	0:1
20.08.23	Simba - Dodoma Jiji	2:0
22.01.23	Dodoma Jiji - Simba	0:1
02.10.22	Simba - Dodoma Jiji	3:0
07.03.22	Simba - Dodoma Jiji	2:0

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