Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 8

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Simrishamn		Nosaby

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.25
	1.83	3.6	3.75
	1.81	3.55	3.57
	1.81	3.55	3.57
	1.73	4	3.5
	1.86	3.69	3.69
	1.83	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.62)	3.63 ↓ (4.06)	3.58 ↓ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simrishamn
49.7%

Draw
25%

Nosaby
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

22.8%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

22.5%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simrishamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Simrishamn's form might have worsened.

Nosaby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nosaby's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simrishamn than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Simrishamn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nosaby than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nosaby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Simrishamn - Nosaby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 1, Grozdanovski J. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Nosaby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Simrishamn is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Simrishamn won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Simrishamn won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Simrishamn
Svenska Cupen
14.05.24	Balkan - Simrishamn	1:2 ET ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
11.05.24	Lödde - Simrishamn	2:3 ✺
04.05.24	Simrishamn - Karlskrona	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Hässleholm - Simrishamn	4:0 ✺
20.04.24	Simrishamn - Österlen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTLL
- Nosaby IF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
10.05.24	Nosaby - Balkan	1:2 ✺
03.05.24	Räppe GoIF - Nosaby	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Nosaby - IFK Trelleborg	3:0 ✺
19.04.24	Nosaby - Lödde	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Karlskrona - Nosaby	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
11.08.23	Nosaby - Simrishamn	2:0
15.04.23	Simrishamn - Nosaby	3:0

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