Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 8

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday

Location: Kwaraa Stadium (Babati)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Singida Fountain Gate		Pamba

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.00	3.25
	2.28	3.00	2.80
	2.26	3.22	2.99	Watch
	2.05	3.02	3.45	Watch
	2.02	3.20	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.28)	3.09 ↑ (3)	3.14 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Singida Fountain Gate
42.2%

Draw
29.1%

Pamba
28.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.8%

29.5%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

28.5%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Singida Fountain Gate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Pamba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Singida Fountain Gate than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pamba than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Singida Fountain Gate - Pamba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Kilusomo M. (G) 6. Awara O. 67. Balama M. 56. Chilongola A. 64. Kasuku K. 60. Mgunda S. 15. Mukombozi D. (C) 9. Obasi C. 22. Said S. 33. Shaban P. 10. Tiote	37. Richard D. (G) 3. Abraham I. 43. Bausi A. 12. Kadikilo A. 54. Lutonja H. 11. Mafie D. 30. Mayombya Z. (C) 26. Ochieng J. 4. Okorocha N. 20. Oyugi Siwa S. 32. T. Lanso
Substitutes
20. Athuman A. . Chubi S. 53. Godfrey B. 4. Joram D. 27. Kindemile H. 55. Mey H. 19. Mtambi A. . Mwanyemba J. 18. Parapanda I. (G) 29. Shiga J.	35. Abdulkarim Y. 42. Diomande I. 18. Johola E. (G) 21. Karabaka S. 36. Kibailo H. 40. Kundo F. 10. Nahimana S. 17. Nakibinge J. 27. Ndwangou N. 6. Samamba M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 15th in the Relegation).

Singida FG is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Pamba is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Pamba could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Singida FG has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:7 (averaging 0.8:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Singida FG against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:5 goals (averaging 1:2.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Pamba	8	1	2	5	9:14	-5	5
16	Fountain Gate	8	1	2	5	4:12	-8	5

Last Results with these Odds

Singida Fountain Gate - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 38.85%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Singida Fountain Gate
Tanzanian Premier League
09.10.26	Singida Fountain Gate - JKT Tanzania	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Kagera Sugar - Singida Fountain Gate	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Singida Fountain Gate - Young Africans	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Singida Fountain Gate - Mbeya City	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Namungo - Singida Fountain Gate	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Pamba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
08.10.26	Pamba - Geita Gold	4:0 ✺
13.09.26	Pamba - TRA United	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	JKT Tanzania - Pamba	3:0 ✺
28.08.26	Young Africans - Pamba	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Pamba - Simba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
30.04.26	Singida Fountain Gate - Pamba	1:2
23.11.25	Pamba - Singida Fountain Gate	1:0
08.04.25	Pamba - Singida Fountain Gate	1:1
05.11.24	Singida Fountain Gate - Pamba	1:3

Singida Fountain Gate - Pamba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide