Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 16

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday

Location: The Sirens Stadium (St. Paul's Bay)


	Sirens		Marsaxlokk

	1	X	2
	8	4.4	1.32
	8.5	4.5	1.33	Watch
	8.76	4.71	1.33
	6.5	4.5	1.33
	8.8	4.55	1.31
	8.2	4.5	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.13 ↑ (5.77)	4.53 ↑ (4.2)	1.32 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sirens
11.2%

Draw
20.1%

Marsaxlokk
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

21.7%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

20.7%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sirens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marsaxlokk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sirens than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cassar A. (C) 23. Asare B. 26. Borg S. 29. Donsu K. 10. Gilberto 31. Jackson K. 3. Murillo D. 15. Ntampizas K. 5. Owusu P. 9. Panayiotou H. 8. Pulis N.	95. Drobnjak M. (G) 27. Aguirre L. (C) 88. Akinbule S. 11. Bonnici D. 94. Fernandinho 8. Ghio J. 4. Micallef K. 33. Pires D. D. 28. Radjen N. 17. Walker J. 10. Yuri
Substitutes
96. Agius D. 17. Agyemang C. 18. Akadom H. 12. Akpan I. E. (G) 92. Bartolo Z. 11. Boateng F. 32. Cachia R. 22. Cini A. 24. Grima M. (G) 6. Matthews C. W. 77. Muscat K.	14. Barbara A. 9. Brener F. 1. Calleja Cremona M. (G) 15. Cassar S. 2. Dimech K. 26. El Anabi S. 22. Maniscalco M. Z. 6. Muscat N. 99. Obonogwu A. 7. Portelli N. 19. Vaikainah A.
Coaches
D'Amato S.	Muscat W.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League and 4).

Sirens is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marsaxlokk is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Marsaxlokk is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sirens won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sirens FC
Maltese FA Trophy
06.02.24	Birkirkara - Sirens	1:0 ET ✺
Maltese Premier League
03.02.24	Mosta - Sirens	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Sirens - Valletta	0:3 ✺
20.01.24	Sirens - Sliema Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
14.01.24	Nadur Youngsters - Sirens	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLW
- Marsaxlokk FC
Maltese FA Trophy
06.02.24	Marsaxlokk - Swieqi United	3:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
03.02.24	Marsaxlokk - Gudja United	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Naxxar Lions - Marsaxlokk	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Balzan - Marsaxlokk	0:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
13.01.24	Marsaxlokk - Zejtun Corinthians	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
27.09.23	Marsaxlokk - Sirens	3:1
13.11.22	Marsaxlokk - Sirens	1:2

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