Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)


	Marsaxlokk		Gudja United

	1	X	2
	1.38	4	7.5
	1.38	4.2	7.5
	1.36	4	7.5
	1.36	4.25	7.95
	1.38	4.1	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.54)	4.11 ↑ (3.76)	7.61 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsaxlokk
66%

Draw
22%

Gudja United
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

24.2%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

23.3%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marsaxlokk's performance.

Gudja United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gudja United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Drobnjak M. (G) 27. Aguirre L. 4. Micallef K. 6. Muscat N. 99. Obonogwu A. 7. Portelli N. 28. Radjen N. 30. Scicluna R. (C) 17. Walker J. 3. Weder 10. Yuri	26. Pisani J. (G) 5. Brenner 88. Esposito M. 92. Godwin J. 39. Grech Z. 22. Mendes R. 11. Muchardi M. (C) 17. Quintero J. 9. Salis I. 24. Serrano W. 99. Zammit G.
Substitutes
88. Akinbule S. 15. Barbara A. 11. Bonnici D. 9. Brener F. 14. Cassar S. 2. Dimech K. 26. El Anabi S. 94. Fernandinho 8. Ghio J. 33. Pires D. D. 37. Saliba A. (G)	21. Attard J. 7. Attard S. 19. Conti M. 4. Cutajar J. 77. Friggieri A. 12. Gatt L. 1. Lehtinen F. (G) 10. Lorenzoni G. 27. Nwafor S. 90. Spiteri J. (G) 23. Tabone N.
Coaches
Muscat W.	Cumbo R.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League).

Recent matches Marsaxlokk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gudja United is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Marsaxlokk is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marsaxlokk won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Marsaxlokk won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marsaxlokk FC
Maltese Premier League
28.01.24	Naxxar Lions - Marsaxlokk	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Balzan - Marsaxlokk	0:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
13.01.24	Marsaxlokk - Zejtun Corinthians	5:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
07.01.24	Marsaxlokk - Paola Hibernians	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Floriana - Marsaxlokk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTWTL
- Gudja United
Maltese Premier League
28.01.24	Gudja United - Mosta	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Gudja United - Valletta	0:3 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
14.01.24	Xewkija Tigers - Gudja United	0:3 ✺
Maltese Premier League
07.01.24	Sliema Wanderers - Gudja United	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Gudja United - Sirens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
24.09.23	Gudja United - Marsaxlokk	1:1
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Gudja United - Marsaxlokk	0:2
Maltese Premier League
18.02.23	Marsaxlokk - Gudja United	1:1
17.10.22	Gudja United - Marsaxlokk	1:2
Club Friendly
19.07.22	Marsaxlokk - Gudja United	2:1

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