Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 10

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday

Location: Studenternas IP (Uppsala)

Referee: Ostling J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 4, Max, TV4 Play


	Sirius		Norrköping

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.7	3.1	Watch
	1.98	3.75	3.3
	2.1	4	3.2	Watch
	2.14	3.9	3.27
	1.97	3.91	3.48	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.6
	1.98	3.67	3.41	Watch
	2.09	3.95	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.15)	3.81 ↑ (3.79)	3.31 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sirius
46.5%

Draw
24.9%

Norrköping
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

25%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

25.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Norrköping has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Sirius - Norrköping Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sirius will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sirius: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sirius (votes: 1 - 25%). Norrköping (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Norrköping (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Norrköping (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sirius (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Norrköping (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diawara I. (C) 13. Voelkerling J. 15. Sandberg S. 4. Anker T. 33. Mamatsashvili S. 14. Walta L. 17. Lindberg M. 7. Persson J. 10. Heier M. 19. Milleskog N. 9. Ure R.	40. Andersson D. (G) 37. Neffati M. 4. Sogaard A. 2. Peprah K. 14. Kalley Y. 21. Ceesay J. 9. Traustason A. (C) 15. Jorgensen S. 10. Karlsson D.M. 22. Prica T. 8. Sigurgeirsson I.
Substitutes
29. Bjerkebo I. 5. Carlsson T. 34. Celic D. (G) 20. Ekstrom V. 36. Ljungberg A. 8. Pyndt A. 24. Svensson V. 18. Vikman A. 21. Widgren D.	28. Andersson A. 3. Baggesen M. 20. Bronner A. 24. Eriksson A. 7. Fransson A. 25. Jansson K. 30. Krantz T. (G) 11. Lushaku I. 19. Watson M.
Coaches
Engelmark A.	Falk M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Jorgensen S. ⚽, Karlsson D.M. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Walta L. ⚽, Ure R. (A),
31', 1 - 2, Jorgensen S. ⚽, Sigurgeirsson I. (A),
35', Sogaard A. 🟨,
44', Kalley Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Sogaard A. ↓, Watson M. ↑,
63', Milleskog N. ↓, Bjerkebo I. ↑,
64', Neffati M. ↓, Fransson A. ↑,
65', Kalley Y. ↓, Baggesen M. ↑,
70', Heier M. 🟨,
72', Traustason A. 🟨,
85', Lindberg M. ↓, Ljungberg A. ↑,
88', Prica T. ↓, Andersson A. ↑,
88', Jorgensen S. ↓, Jansson K. ↑,
90+4', Andersson A. 🟨,
90+4', Voelkerling J. ↓, Vikman A. ↑,
90+4', Sandberg S. ↓, Carlsson T. ↑,
90+4', Heier M. ↓, Ekstrom V. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Allsvenskan (Relegation) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 3.

In recent matches, Sirius has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Norrköping is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sirius could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Sirius: Nwadike P. (Inactive) Sjogrell H. (Injury)

There will not play in Norrköping: Bolma S. (Inactive) Mitov D. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sirius won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Sirius
Swedish Allsvenskan
14.05.25	Hammarby - Sirius	3:2 ✺
10.05.25	Sirius - Häcken	2:0 ✺
03.05.25	Degerfors - Sirius	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Sirius - Halmstad	1:1 ✺
23.04.25	Elfsborg - Sirius	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTTL
- IFK Norrköping
Swedish Allsvenskan
15.05.25	Norrköping - Degerfors	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Hammarby - Norrköping	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Norrköping - Häcken	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Värnamo - Norrköping	1:3 ✺
24.04.25	Norrköping - IFK Göteborg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
03.10.24	Norrköping - Sirius	0:2
01.06.24	Sirius - Norrköping	5:1
Svenska Cupen
04.03.24	Sirius - Norrköping	2:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
12.11.23	Sirius - Norrköping	2:0
02.04.23	Norrköping - Sirius	1:1
15.10.22	Sirius - Norrköping	2:0
03.07.22	Norrköping - Sirius	0:1

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