Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 8

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: 3Arena (Stockholm)

Referee: Wolf V. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Sweden	Discovery+, Kanal 5, max Extra 1, Max, TV4 Play


	Hammarby		Norrköping

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6.25	Watch
	1.43	4.75	6.25
	1.49	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.46	4.84	6.8
	1.46	4.7	6.52
	1.44	4.5	6
	1.46	4.51	6.26	Watch
	1.48	4.7	6.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.4)	4.66 ↑ (4.6)	6.38 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hammarby
64.9%

Draw
20.3%

Norrköping
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

20%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

19.1%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hammarby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Norrköping has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Hammarby - Norrköping Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hammarby will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Norrköping will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hammarby: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrköping (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Norrköping (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrköping (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hahn W. (G) 2. Skoglund H. 4. Eriksson V. 6. Vagic P. 19. Pinas S. 8. Karlsson M. 5. Tekie T. 20. Besara N. (C) 7. Abraham P. 26. Madjed M. 18. Tounekti S.	40. Andersson D. (G) 37. Neffati M. 19. Watson M. 2. Peprah K. 14. Kalley Y. 21. Ceesay J. 9. Traustason A. 11. Lushaku I. 10. Karlsson D.M. 5. Nyman C. (C) 8. Sigurgeirsson I.
Substitutes
23. Boudah A. 9. Erabi J. 17. Fofana I. 27. Jakobsson F. (G) 29. Kabore M. 13. Karlsson J. 15. Lahdo A. 22. Ortmark J. 21. Strand S.	28. Andersson A. 3. Baggesen M. 20. Bronner A. 24. Eriksson A. 7. Fransson A. 15. Jorgensen S. 30. Krantz T. (G) 22. Prica T. 4. Sogaard A.
Coaches
Hellberg K.	Falk M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Tekie T. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Sigurgeirsson I. ⚽,
31', Vagic P. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Madjed M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Pinas S. 🟨,
63', Madjed M. ↓, Boudah A. ↑,
67', Kalley Y. 🟨,
72', Sigurgeirsson I. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
76', Abraham P. ↓, Erabi J. ↑,
78', Karlsson D.M. ↓, Fransson A. ↑,
78', Lushaku I. ↓, Prica T. ↑,
78', Kalley Y. ↓, Baggesen M. ↑,
88', Karlsson M. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
88', Neffati M. ↓, Eriksson A. ↑,
88', Tounekti S. ↓, Ortmark J. ↑,
90+5', Andersson D. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 2.

Hammarby is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Norrköping's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Hammarby is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Hammarby: Collander D. (Knee Injury) Winther F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Norrköping: Bolma S. (Inactive) Jansson K. (Inactive) Mitov D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Hammarby: Johansson O. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hammarby won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hammarby IF Football
Swedish Allsvenskan
04.05.25	Öster - Hammarby	0:3 ✺
27.04.25	Häcken - Hammarby	1:1 ✺
23.04.25	Hammarby - Malmö	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Mjällby - Hammarby	3:1 ✺
13.04.25	Hammarby - Djurgården	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWLW
- IFK Norrköping
Swedish Allsvenskan
04.05.25	Norrköping - Häcken	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Värnamo - Norrköping	1:3 ✺
24.04.25	Norrköping - IFK Göteborg	2:3 ✺
19.04.25	Norrköping - Halmstad	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Elfsborg - Norrköping	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
16.09.24	Hammarby - Norrköping	1:1
12.05.24	Norrköping - Hammarby	1:2
30.07.23	Hammarby - Norrköping	2:1
04.05.23	Norrköping - Hammarby	2:0
05.09.22	Norrköping - Hammarby	4:1
22.05.22	Hammarby - Norrköping	3:0
Svenska Cupen
13.03.22	Hammarby - Norrköping	3:2

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