The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sivasspor 45.8%
Draw 29.5%
Giresunspor 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
27.8%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
27.3%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Giresunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giresunspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giresunspor than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giresunspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
82.9%
9.8%
7.3%
Sivasspor - Giresunspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
123 users predict this event. Sivasspor will win (votes: 102 - 82.9%). Giresunspor will win (votes: 9 - 7.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 9.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sivasspor: 76.2% – 89.6%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 13).
Sivasspor has the most likely position - 17 (10.27%), has project points - 39, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (37%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Giresunspor has the most likely position - 17 (11.89%), has project points - 38, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (43%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality34, importance49, match rating41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Sivasspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Giresunspor is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Sivasspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Sivasspor will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Sivasspor: Camara S.
(Injury)
Erdal Z.
(Injury)
James L.
(Ankle Injury)
Musa A.
(Arm Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Sivasspor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Sivasspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
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