Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 24

Date: 2 February 2024, Friday

Location: Eryaman Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Bitigen A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Ankaragücü		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4	Watch
	1.93	3.3	3.9
	1.98	3.4	3.8	Watch
	2.02	3.35	4.09
	1.92	3.45	4.57
	1.91	3.4	3.6
	2.01	3.58	3.86	Watch
	1.94	3.3	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.35)	3.41 ↓ (3.7)	3.94 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankaragücü
48.4%

Draw
27.7%

Sivasspor
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

25.5%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

25%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ankaragücü's performance.

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sivasspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ankaragücü that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sivasspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	20.8%	12.5%

Ankaragücü - Sivasspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Ankaragücü will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Sivasspor will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ankaragücü: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Gungordu B. (G) 70. Kitsiou S. 26. Radakovic U. 18. Mujakic N. 5. Hanousek M. 23. Guneren A. K. 30. Cigerci T. 8. Pedrinho 80. Morutan O. 22. Sowe A. 29. Cephas R.	35. Vural A. (G) 99. Paluli M. 4. Appindangoye 14. Camara S. 23. Okumus A. 44. Poungouras A. 19. Kvet R. 12. Akdag I. 33. Elmaz B. 17. Bassan E. 9. Manaj R.
Substitutes
21. Astanakulov S. 9. Bajic R. 77. Bilazer H. 4. Cankaya A. R. 45. Cetin M. 7. Chatzigiovanis A. 41. Kaya D. (G) 32. Macheda F. 17. Saponara R. 6. Turkmen C.	69. Albayrak M. 74. Cakir S. 21. Gokay E. 50. Gulec E. 16. Kapacak B. 66. Kaya M. 73. Kefkir Y. 13. Nikolic D. (G) 10. N'Jie C. 97. Ozbay M.
Coaches
Belozoglu E.	Uygun B.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 2.

Ankaragücü is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sivasspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ankaragücü will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Ankaragücü won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish Super League
28.01.24	Fenerbahçe - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
24.01.24	Ankaragücü - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:0 ✺
20.01.24	Adana Demirspor - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
16.01.24	Ankaragücü - Çaykur Rizespor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
13.01.24	Ankaragücü - Kasımpaşa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWTWW
- Sivasspor
Turkish Super League
28.01.24	Sivasspor - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
24.01.24	Antalyaspor - Sivasspor	2:1 ✺
21.01.24	Sivasspor - Gaziantep	2:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
18.01.24	Sivasspor - Keçiörengücü	3:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
14.01.24	Samsunspor - Sivasspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
18.09.23	Sivasspor - Ankaragücü	1:3
19.03.23	Sivasspor - Ankaragücü	2:0
18.09.22	Ankaragücü - Sivasspor	2:1
Turkish Cup
30.12.21	Sivasspor - Ankaragücü	2:1
Turkish Super League
07.02.21	Ankaragücü - Sivasspor	1:4
27.09.20	Sivasspor - Ankaragücü	0:0
01.03.20	Ankaragücü - Sivasspor	0:3

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