Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 10

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Skanstes		Riga Mariners

	1	X	2
	4.80	4.33	1.47
	4.95	4.35	1.47
	4.60	4.40	1.55
	5.01	4.11	1.54	Watch
	5.00	3.90	1.50
	4.36	4.36	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↑ (3.81)	4.24 ↑ (4.13)	1.52 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skanstes
19%

Draw
21.4%

Riga Mariners
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

21.9%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

21.5%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skanstes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Riga Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Riga Mariners's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skanstes than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga Mariners than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Skanstes - Riga Mariners Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Grazis A. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Poluhovics A. ⚽, Ivanovs M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Grazis A. (Penalty Awarded),
54', Sinelnikovs A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4).

Skanstes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Riga Mariners is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Riga Mariners is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Skanstes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Skanstes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Riga Mariners	21	14	5	2	50:23	27	47
7	Skanste	21	8	2	11	43:42	1	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skanstes SK
Latvian Cup
30.05.26	Valmiera - Skanstes	2:0 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
24.05.26	JDFS Alberts - Skanstes	4:1 ✺
10.05.26	Skanstes - Rīgas FS 2	4:0 ✺
04.05.26	Skanstes - Riga 2	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Skanstes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWWL
- Riga Mariners
Latvian Cup
30.05.26	RFK RFS - Riga Mariners	0:11 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
23.05.26	Riga Mariners - Metta	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Riga Mariners - Valmiera	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Riga Mariners - Smiltene	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Rēzekne - Riga Mariners	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
02.08.25	Skanstes - Riga Mariners	2:3
05.04.25	Riga Mariners - Skanstes	1:0

Skanstes - Riga Mariners: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide