Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 23

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski MOSiR - artificial grass (Częstochowa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Skra Częstochowa		Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.7	1.61
	4.6	3.45	1.69
	4.69	3.47	1.77	Watch
	4.6	3.2	1.73
	4.89	3.3	1.78	Watch
	4.6	3.45	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↑ (3.75)	3.43 ↑ (3.3)	1.71 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
19.8%

Draw
26.7%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

27.5%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

27.4%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Skra Częstochowa - Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Skra Częstochowa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Podbeskidzie will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kramarz F. (G) 31. Estigarribia 10. Garcia B. 22. Kaczorowski K. 77. Kolodziejczyk P. 23. Lawrynowicz I. 18. Lesniak-Paduch N. 3. Majewski R. 16. Niedbala J. 7. Nocon P. (C) 26. Sobczak K.	1. Forenc K. (C) 22. Gach K. 9. Gorski M. 6. Kizyma M. 90. Klisiewicz L. 17. Majsterek J. 8. Mrsic M. 13. Sciuk D. 11. Szumilas W. 14. Urynowicz M. 55. Willman M.
Substitutes
6. Araujo Guilherme J. L. 19. Kaczmar M. 37. Rogala K. 25. Sadowski H. 53. Szywacz W. 13. Waclawek B. 99. Warszakowski B. (G) 98. Wirenski J. 8. Wrobel M.	24. Bednarski M. 33. Bieronski B. 18. Czajkowski P. 3. Dziwniel D. 32. Manikowski M. (G) 84. Martosz B. 28. Osyra K. 7. Ronnberg L. 30. Zajac R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Kolodziejczyk P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Mrsic M. ↓, Bednarski M. ↑,
64', Majewski R. 🟨,
68', Kaczorowski K. ↓, Waclawek B. ↑,
69', Lawrynowicz I. ↓, Araujo Guilherme J. L. ↑,
77', Bednarski M. 🟨,
79', Niedbala J. ↓, Szywacz W. ↑,
79', Kolodziejczyk P. ↓, Wirenski J. ↑,
80', Urynowicz M. ↓, Ronnberg L. ↑,
81', Gach K. ↓, Dziwniel D. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Majewski R. ⚽,
90', Garcia B. ↓, Kaczmar M. ↑,
90+1', Kizyma M. ↓, Martosz B. ↑,

Preview

No spectators.

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Podbeskidzie have a series of guest games.

In this match Podbeskidzie is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Skra Częstochowa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Skra Częstochowa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 2
15.03.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Skra Częstochowa	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Hutnik - Skra Częstochowa	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.02.25	Skra Częstochowa - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Skra Częstochowa - Warta Sieradz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWT
- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Division 2
15.03.25	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Swit Skolwin	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Polonia Bytom - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.02.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:3 ✺
21.02.25	Hutnik - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
23.08.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Skra Częstochowa	3:0
Polish Division 1
05.03.23	Skra Częstochowa - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0
10.08.22	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Skra Częstochowa	0:1
07.03.22	Skra Częstochowa - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:1
23.08.21	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Skra Częstochowa	1:0

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