Match Info

Superettan - Round 4

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Vångavallen (Trelleborg)

Referee: Mattsson E. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 6, Max, TV4 Play


	Trelleborg		Brage

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.25
	2.1	3.25	3.1
	2.2	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.71
	2.2	3.05	3.54	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.1
	2.19	3.13	3.52	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.12)	3.18 ↓ (3.55)	3.4 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trelleborg
43.1%

Draw
29.4%

Brage
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

25.8%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

24.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Trelleborg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Brage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brage than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Trelleborg - Brage Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Trelleborg will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Brage will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nilsson M. (G) 15. Godwin E. 19. Karlsson T. 3. Weberg C. (C) 21. Alievski E. 7. Andersson J. 24. Christiansson V. 10. Vidjeskog A. 22. Martinsson F. 17. Bohman F. 11. Culum A.	1. Frodig V. (G) 22. Weilid C. 2. Zetterstrom A. (C) 3. Walemark T. 4. Persson M. 20. Nordh G. 8. Stensson J. 10. Berggren G. 6. Larsen M. 19. Brkic H. 9. Trpcevski F.
Substitutes
16. Asani A. 45. Brandin O. 9. Jaf E. 26. Kack J. 5. Ogwuche A. 4. Rehn A. 8. Ruuska O.	23. Astrand John N. 13. Engdahl A. (G) 17. Jonsson P. 5. Konjuhi L. 11. Lundin A. 33. Muhsin A. 7. Tot Wikstrom E.
Coaches
Jacobsson S.	Mian J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Larsen M. ↓, Lundin A. ↑,
33', Weilid C. 🟨,
35', Weberg C. 🟨,
37', Brkic H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Alievski E. 🟨,
59', Lundin A. 🟨,
65', Martinsson F. ↓, Ruuska O. ↑,
65', Nordh G. ↓, Tot Wikstrom E. ↑,
80', Andersson J. ↓, Ogwuche A. ↑,
81', Karlsson T. 🟨,
82', Brkic H. ↓, Jonsson P. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 1, Trpcevski F. ⚽, Weilid C. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trelleborg won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

Brage could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Trelleborg have a series of guest games.

Trelleborg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Trelleborg won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Trelleborg won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
12.04.25	Sandviken - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Umeå - Trelleborg	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Trelleborg - Östersund	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Mjällby - Trelleborg	4:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
09.03.25	Norrköping - Trelleborg	3:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
13.04.25	Brage - Varbergs BoIS	1:1 ✺
07.04.25	Brage - Falkenberg	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Landskrona - Brage	2:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
01.03.25	Örgryte - Brage	3:1 ✺
23.02.25	Brage - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
19.10.24	Brage - Trelleborg	1:0
17.06.24	Trelleborg - Brage	1:0
16.09.23	Brage - Trelleborg	1:1
05.06.23	Trelleborg - Brage	1:0
18.09.22	Brage - Trelleborg	1:2
30.04.22	Trelleborg - Brage	2:2
11.09.21	Trelleborg - Brage	3:1

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