Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 19

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Södermalms IP (Skövde)

Referee: Dufva-Johansson A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 7, TV4 Play


	Skövde AIK		Helsingborg

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.62
	4.8	3.75	1.6
	5	4	1.63	Watch
	5.41	3.97	1.64
	4.82	3.84	1.68	Watch
	4.8	3.75	1.57
	5.02	3.9	1.64	Watch
	5	4	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (4.16)	3.9 ↑ (3.57)	1.63 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skövde AIK
18.6%

Draw
23.9%

Helsingborg
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

26.1%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

25.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skövde AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Helsingborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Helsingborg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skövde AIK than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Helsingborg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Skövde AIK - Helsingborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Skövde will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Helsingborg will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Zendejas A. (G) 19. Sorman S. 3. Schyberg F. (C) 18. Tellgren E. 21. Mikhail M. 11. Diagne M. 23. Ovsenek Z. 24. Hellichius F. 13. Engstrom H. 10. Abraham S. 9. Ljubicic S.	1. Joelsson K. (C) 19. Orn B. 2. Birkfeldt J. 3. Nilsson W. 20. Olsson D. 13. Loeper W. 14. Kjellnas L. 16. Gigovic E. 21. Svanback A. 27. Acquah B. 9. Silverholt T.
Substitutes
6. Abraham E. 4. Drinic F. 1. Frojd M. (G) 12. Hall A. 99. Shhab S. 7. Skillermo E. 20. Suljev A.	30. Arvidsson N. (G) 24. Bergman D. 22. Chika C. 7. Kabashi A. 11. Rasmussen M. 4. Rogne T. 23. Westerlund W.
Coaches
Abraham C.	Saarenpaa K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
20', Engstrom H. 🟨,
23', Mikhail M. 🟨,
24', Ljubicic S. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Engstrom H. ⚽, Tellgren E. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Olsson D. ⚽, Acquah B. (A),
41', 1 - 2, Birkfeldt J. ⚽, Olsson D. (A),
43', 1 - 3, Acquah B. ⚽, Gigovic E. (A),
45+1', Abraham S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Svanback A. 🟨,
65', Birkfeldt J. 🟨,
66', Hellichius F. ↓, Abraham E. ↑,
66', Ljubicic S. ↓, Shhab S. ↑,
66', Ovsenek Z. ↓, Drinic F. ↑,
71', Svanback A. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
71', Olsson D. ↓, Westerlund W. ↑,
73', Abraham E. 🟨,
80', Loeper W. ↓, Kabashi A. ↑,
80', Silverholt T. ↓, Chika C. ↑,
80', Mikhail M. ↓, Skillermo E. ↑,
80', Abraham S. ↓, Suljev A. ↑,
90', Acquah B. ↓, Bergman D. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Skövde is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Helsingborg in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Helsingborg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Helsingborg is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Skövde won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Skövde won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skövde AIK
Swedish Superettan
09.08.24	Brage - Skövde AIK	2:0 ✺
04.08.24	Skövde AIK - Örgryte	0:2 ✺
27.07.24	Degerfors - Skövde AIK	2:0 ✺
21.07.24	Skövde AIK - Brage	1:0 ✺
30.06.24	Örgryte - Skövde AIK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLWL
- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Superettan
13.08.24	Helsingborg - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Varbergs BoIS - Helsingborg	0:3 ✺
29.07.24	Helsingborg - Öster	3:2 ✺
20.07.24	Oddevold - Helsingborg	0:3 ✺
28.06.24	Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
22.05.24	Helsingborg - Skövde AIK	0:1
11.11.23	Skövde AIK - Helsingborg	1:0
01.06.23	Helsingborg - Skövde AIK	0:0

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