Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Svealand - Round 23

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Sleipner		Farsta

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.60	3.20
	2.08	3.40	2.75
	1.88	4.03	3.17
	1.92	4.05	3.14	Watch
	1.80	3.95	3.10
	1.90	3.91	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.23)	3.82 ↑ (3.4)	3.12 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sleipner
47.3%

Draw
23.6%

Farsta
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

25.9%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

24.7%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sleipner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sleipner's performance.

Farsta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Farsta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sleipner than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sleipner that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsta than the current prediction. (+4%)

Sleipner - Farsta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Division 2 ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Farsta could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Sleipner has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:12 (averaging 2:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sleipner against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:2 goals (averaging 3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Farsta	24	14	4	6	49:26	23	46
2	Sleipner	24	13	6	5	49:36	13	45

Last Results with these Odds

Farsta - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 34.56%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Sleipner
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
20.09.26	Syrianska - Sleipner	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Sleipner - Nacka FC	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Örebro Syrianska - Sleipner	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	Sleipner - Eker Örebro	7:1 ✺
22.08.26	Rågsved - Sleipner	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW
- FOC Farsta
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
19.09.26	Farsta - Karlslund	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Farsta - Smedby	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Forward - Farsta	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Farsta - Nacka FC	4:1 ✺
23.08.26	Örebro Syrianska - Farsta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
03.04.26	Farsta - Sleipner	4:1
04.10.25	Farsta - Sleipner	6:1
03.05.25	Sleipner - Farsta	3:0
23.09.23	Sleipner - Farsta	3:2
03.06.23	Farsta - Sleipner	0:2

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